NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	7.5 [316]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	3.9 [366]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -33.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	12	68%	0.13	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	11	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Terrell Brandon	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.06	-0.15	0.02	18	47%	-0.03	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33	-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	20	30%	-0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.00	10	65%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	21	56%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.11	0.04	14	53%	-0.03	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	9	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	29.0	18.8	27.0	2.8	45.2	150.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.9%

POR +22.3%

MIN -7.6%

POR +15.5%

MIN -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	17.0	15.2	103.5	105.8	101.7
season	15.1	15.9		103.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.7		99.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	17.6	15.8	19.3	16.6
POR	16.9	20.3	15.5	15.9	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	18	17	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-13	23	17.5	16.4	1.10	19.7	16.4	3.31
Joe Smith	26	27	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-8	13	18.1	16.0	2.08	20.0	15.7	4.25
Wally Szczerbiak	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-2	1	15.6	18.5	-2.83	16.4	18.1	-1.69
Bobby Jackson	11	10	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	7	-17	16.7	16.6	0.11	14.0	17.4	-3.45
Anthony Peeler	35	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-8	13	17.5	16.0	1.45	16.7	17.3	-0.65
Terrell Brandon	74	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.50	7	-10	17	16.6	16.7	-0.11	17.4	14.0	3.45
Rasho Nesterovic	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	0	-3	16.2	18.2	-1.94	17.2	16.6	0.57
Malik Sealy	66	67	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.33	-13	10	-23	16.4	17.6	-1.22	16.1	20.3	-4.20
Kevin Garnett	73	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.40	-15	12	-27	16.9	15.2	1.71	16.7	18.8	-2.03

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	68	67	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-8	19	16.4	19.4	-2.96	16.4	17.7	-1.31
Scottie Pippen	78	77	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-9	21	16.1	26.2	-10.15	16.4	18.5	-2.06
Arvydas Sabonis	44	43	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	5	-7	19.2	14.8	4.37	17.2	16.0	1.16
Damon Stoudamire	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-4	11	16.5	18.9	-2.40	15.6	19.8	-4.15
Steven Smith	77	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	4	-5	16.4	22.9	-6.53	16.1	20.8	-4.63
Greg Anthony	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	3	-3	20.7	16.0	4.67	21.2	15.3	5.89
Brian Grant	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.22	11	-8	19	15.3	18.5	-3.28	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Bonzi Wells	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	4	-5	30.0	16.6	13.42	25.0	16.2	8.78
Stacey Augmon	9	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	14	-25	20.0	16.7	3.30	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Detlef Schrempf	28	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	14	-25	18.7	16.2	2.53	17.0	16.5	0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.71,0.59,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 105, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	91.8%
NOH 96, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	91.7%
MIL 91, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.92,1	91.0%