NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	91		Excitement	8.0 [140]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +44.1%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	21.8 [31]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -24.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	117%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	71%	0.17	5	-0.14	9	100%	0.06
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.23	-0.04	-0.20	-0.01	10	54%	-0.15	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.44	0.44	0.09	0.35	-0.00	18	65%	0.50	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.05
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	13	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.01
Herb Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	19	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.07	-0.01	17	41%	-0.02	7	-0.23	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	30.4	18.6	31.5	3.4	50.4	161.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +15.8%

NYK +17.5%

NYK +22.0%

IND -3.5%

IND -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	15.7	15.8	104.6	103.4	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		105.4	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.0		95.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.4	17.8	16.9	18.3	17.1
NYK	17.4	14.3	13.1	18.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	22	23	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.21	3	-4	7	19.6	16.2	3.45	17.2	15.2	2.01
Travis Best	18	19	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.18	3	-4	7	19.3	16.5	2.87	18.6	14.9	3.75
Dale Davis	42	43	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	16.8	17.3	-0.53	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Rik Smits	44	46	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-6	11	17.1	17.0	0.02	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Chris Mullin	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	4	-9	16.3	17.7	-1.36	15.4	15.9	-0.43
Antonio Davis	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	8	-17	17.6	16.3	1.33	16.3	14.9	1.43
Jalen Rose	38	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.67	7	-8	15	16.9	17.1	-0.20	15.6	15.8	-0.19
Derrick McKey	45	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	3	-7	17.3	16.8	0.53	15.9	15.4	0.50
Mark Jackson	69	70	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.65	-4	3	-7	16.5	19.3	-2.87	14.9	18.6	-3.75
Reggie Miller	68	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.66	-4	3	-7	16.3	19.8	-3.50	15.0	18.2	-3.14

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	64	64	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.41	9	-8	17	16.8	12.9	3.90	17.7	15.2	2.56
Charlie Ward	32	33	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.53	2	-1	3	16.0	15.5	0.49	15.0	18.3	-3.27
Chris Childs	58	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	15.3	16.3	-0.98	17.8	15.8	1.99
Allan Houston	79	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.52	0	1	-1	15.9	14.3	1.56	16.9	18.0	-1.09
Latrell Sprewell	69	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	4	-7	15.4	16.6	-1.24	17.0	17.4	-0.44
Kurt Thomas	40	41	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-6	13	14.2	16.9	-2.70	17.1	17.0	0.08
Marcus Camby	62	61	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	14.4	18.6	-4.12	17.5	16.1	1.34
Herb Williams	6	4	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.05	-5	6	-11	10.3	16.1	-5.74	14.7	17.2	-2.42
Chris Dudley	35	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	10	-19	18.9	13.6	5.37	16.6	17.3	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1	91.3%
NYK 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.27,1	90.3%
DET 98, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.43,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.05,0.11,0.09,1	90.3%