NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	5.7 [410]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (HOU): +16.4%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	2.4 [365]		LVP	Hakeem Olajuwon (HOU): -14.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	13	46%	0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	17	36%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	22	43%	-0.09	1	-0.03	16	50%	-0.07

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.09	-0.03	27	56%	0.21	2	-0.04	12	83%	-0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	23	56%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	12	20%	-0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.4	31.2	17.4	27.3	2.8	40.5	151.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.8%

LAL -8.6%

HOU +15.9%

HOU +11.7%

HOU +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.0	15.6	15.8	94.6	107.4	99.6
season	14.9	16.0		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.6	15.8		100.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	15.2	15.0	14.0	15.0
HOU	14.8	14.1	15.7	17.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Reid	47	48	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.14	6	-20	26	14.6	15.5	-0.90	15.9	15.3	0.66
Kobe Bryant	68	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-14	14	15.1	14.8	0.30	15.7	15.3	0.44
Derek Fisher	66	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-13	12	14.8	15.7	-0.91	15.6	15.6	0.08
Sean Rooks	11	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.3	14.7	2.55	15.9	15.6	0.34
Shaquille O'Neal	81	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-8	2	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.7	15.1	0.60
Rick Fox	36	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	5	-24	15.8	14.5	1.23	13.8	16.8	-3.08
Derek Harper	28	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-1	-12	15.4	14.9	0.53	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Glen Rice	82	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	14.6	17.8	-3.17	15.7	15.1	0.57
Robert Horry	46	46	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.14	-16	2	-18	15.4	14.6	0.82	16.5	14.8	1.72

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-6	26	15.6	15.7	-0.13	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Sam Mack	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-5	24	15.6	15.5	0.11	15.1	14.8	0.23
Scottie Pippen	95	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	0	14	15.6	0.0	15.61	15.0	0.0	15.02
Charles Barkley	86	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	2	10	15.7	15.2	0.43	15.0	15.5	-0.54
Othella Harrington	26	27	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	1	12	14.0	16.2	-2.27	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Hakeem Olajuwon	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	18	-22	17.3	13.6	3.71	15.5	14.4	1.12
Antoine Carr	19	19	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	11	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.24	17.3	14.4	2.82
Stanley Roberts	4	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	15	-16	14.2	15.7	-1.42	8.7	15.2	-6.57
Michael Dickerson	21	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	19	-24	15.5	15.6	-0.11	14.8	15.1	-0.23
Cuttino Mobley	33	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	15	-16	14.5	16.2	-1.68	15.5	14.8	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
SAC 98, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.2%
ATL 94, CHA 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%