NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	80		Excitement	5.9 [380]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +0.9%
San Antonio Spurs	71		Comeback	1.6 [261]		LVP	Mario Elie (SAS): -14.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	22	50%	0.15	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.07
Terrell Brandon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	17	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.02
Joe Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	10	41%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Will Perdue	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	0%	-0.03
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	61%	0.00	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	11	53%	0.02	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.04
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	12	23%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	32.2	17.5	27.2	1.8	31.2	135.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +8.8%

SAS -9.7%

MIN +37.8%

MIN +7.1%

MIN +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	18.1	16.0	15.8	95.2	83.5	99.6
season	15.0	15.9		98.6	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.3	18.5	18.0	18.8	18.1
SAS	16.2	14.9	16.3	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	53	52	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-5	19	19.8	15.4	4.37	15.8	16.2	-0.47
Dean Garrett	57	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	0	9	19.6	15.0	4.58	15.9	16.1	-0.28
Kevin Garnett	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.11	14	-5	19	18.7	8.8	9.93	16.6	7.3	9.27
Terrell Brandon	81	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-3	15	18.6	5.0	13.63	16.3	7.3	8.93
Sam Mitchell	53	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-4	17	18.3	17.8	0.53	16.4	15.2	1.16
Bobby Jackson	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	11	-13	6.5	18.4	-11.93	0.0	16.1	-16.14
Joe Smith	58	59	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	16.7	21.5	-4.81	15.6	16.7	-1.01
James Robinson	3	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	5.0	18.6	-13.63	7.3	16.3	-8.93
Tom Hammonds	3	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	12	-15	7.7	18.5	-10.86	7.2	16.4	-9.13
Malik Sealy	31	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	14	-19	15.4	19.8	-4.37	16.2	15.8	0.47

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	19	20	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-14	19	16.8	15.7	1.08	17.0	18.5	-1.50
Malik Rose	18	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-16	23	14.4	16.4	-1.98	18.5	18.0	0.45
Jerome Kersey	18	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-8	7	14.8	16.3	-1.49	17.2	18.4	-1.14
Antonio Daniels	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-9	9	12.2	16.5	-4.33	20.7	17.8	2.97
Will Perdue	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	15.3	16.0	-0.67	16.3	18.3	-2.03
Jaren Jackson	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-5	1	13.0	16.5	-3.54	17.7	18.2	-0.50
Tim Duncan	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	16.0	15.3	0.67	18.3	16.3	2.03
Avery Johnson	74	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	16.5	12.2	4.33	17.8	20.7	-2.97
Sean Elliott	63	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-3	-3	16.6	14.1	2.51	18.9	16.1	2.72
Mario Elie	56	54	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.15	-12	3	-15	16.1	15.8	0.29	18.1	18.1	0.01
David Robinson	67	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	7	-23	16.4	14.4	1.98	18.0	18.5	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 117, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.03,0.09,0	94.0%
LAL 95, VAN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.35,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.34,0.14,0.24,0.1,0.09,0,0	93.9%
CHI 97, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.29,0.12,0.22,0.29,0.16,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	93.7%