NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	95		Excitement	7.3 [336]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +13.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	3.4 [369]		LVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): -15.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	10	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.08
Shaquille O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.01	21	62%	0.18	2	-0.07	8	37%	-0.09
Jon Barry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	2	87%	0.05	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	9	52%	-0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.04
Robert Horry	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	10	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	18	65%	0.21	3	-0.08	15	60%	-0.03
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.09	-0.00	4	25%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	12	76%	0.21	4	-0.18	5	60%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	6	36%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	57.6	1.7	30.2	17.5	29.2	1.8	37.3	175.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.7%

UTA +8.2%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +10.4%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	99.0	103.1	102.5
season	14.8	15.9		110.0	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	16.3	13.1	14.9	14.9
UTA	13.6	13.7	16.9	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	43	44	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.20	14	-18	32	13.6	15.9	-2.28	16.2	14.2	2.06
Corie Blount	59	59	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-9	14	14.6	15.3	-0.66	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Jon Barry	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-1	-2	17.7	14.8	2.89	21.0	15.0	5.99
Elden Campbell	13	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.9	0.07	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Rick Fox	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.43	6	-10	16	14.9	14.6	0.38	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Shaquille O'Neal	83	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-7	10	14.9	14.9	-0.07	15.2	14.4	0.82
Eddie Jones	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-3	2	13.8	16.8	-3.02	15.4	14.5	0.91
Kobe Bryant	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	2	-8	15.7	14.2	1.55	13.9	16.2	-2.27
Robert Horry	39	39	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	6	-16	16.1	14.0	2.09	17.1	13.8	3.27
Nick Van Exel	58	56	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.33	-21	17	-38	15.5	13.9	1.52	14.4	16.1	-1.74

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	15.8	12.2	3.52	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Shandon Anderson	38	40	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-4	12	15.2	15.1	0.04	16.2	13.9	2.37
Antoine Carr	30	31	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	13.6	15.8	-2.23	15.3	14.7	0.63
Howard Eisley	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-5	14	13.5	16.1	-2.62	14.9	14.9	0.00
Chris Morris	28	30	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	2	0	14.5	15.4	-0.85	15.5	14.6	0.92
Karl Malone	81	80	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	2	0	15.7	12.1	3.64	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Greg Ostertag	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-3	10	13.2	16.3	-3.02	15.0	14.8	0.26
Adam Keefe	2	2	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	2	0	18.5	15.1	3.44	13.0	14.9	-1.90
John Stockton	60	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	9	-14	16.1	13.5	2.62	15.1	14.5	0.56
Jeff Hornacek	58	56	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	8	-12	15.1	15.2	-0.04	13.9	16.2	-2.37
Jacque Vaughn	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	15.1	-15.14	2.0	15.0	-13.00
Greg Foster	32	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.01	-13	17	-30	16.0	14.7	1.34	14.2	15.2	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.77,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,1	92.4%
ATL 90, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.8,0.9,0.97,1,1	92.3%
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.2%