NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	6.4 [488]		MVP	Jerome Kersey (SEA): +12.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	2.0 [551]		LVP	Greg Anthony (SEA): -26.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.05	-0.05	13	54%	0.11	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	20	52%	0.09	4	-0.13	12	42%	-0.06
Eddie Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	5	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Nick Van Exel	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.12	0.05	15	47%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.02	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	19	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	-0.00	0.03	7	95%	0.14	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	12	42%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	50%	0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.03	12	63%	0.06	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.12	-0.01	4	0%	-0.12	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	50.9	2.6	29.2	17.4	25.8	1.8	36.2	164.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +15.1%

SEA +15.8%

SEA +19.3%

LAL -0.5%

SEA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SEA	NBA	LAL	SEA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.6	105.7	119.1	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		110.0	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.6		102.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	15.3	15.8	16.7	15.7
SEA	16.8	14.7	20.1	16.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	72	74	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-18	22	15.2	18.2	-2.98	18.0	11.9	6.15
Derek Fisher	28	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-13	12	16.3	15.5	0.81	18.0	16.5	1.49
Elden Campbell	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-14	14	16.5	15.4	1.14	19.5	15.9	3.56
Robert Horry	56	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-13	12	15.8	15.6	0.14	17.7	15.5	2.19
Corie Blount	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-9	4	15.3	15.8	-0.51	17.1	17.0	0.10
Kobe Bryant	33	34	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	2	-18	15.0	16.2	-1.23	14.1	18.7	-4.58
Nick Van Exel	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.5	16.3	-0.81	16.5	18.0	-1.49
Eddie Jones	72	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.03	-19	5	-24	16.4	12.4	4.03	16.7	18.3	-1.63
Shaquille O'Neal	70	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.03	-19	5	-24	15.7	16.0	-0.33	16.0	21.2	-5.19

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Kersey	43	42	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.18	22	-8	30	16.6	17.3	-0.72	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Greg Anthony	27	26	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-4	22	14.9	17.9	-3.05	16.9	15.2	1.69
Gary Payton	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.07	13	1	12	17.0	16.4	0.66	15.6	16.9	-1.25
Dale Ellis	34	33	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	2	10	17.4	16.7	0.66	16.8	15.1	1.70
Vin Baker	70	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	9	-4	16.8	17.8	-1.03	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Hersey Hawkins	55	54	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	12	-10	16.7	17.4	-0.66	15.1	16.8	-1.70
Sam Perkins	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	9	-4	17.6	16.5	1.09	15.8	15.7	0.15
David Wingate	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	13.0	17.0	-4.02	14.0	15.8	-1.76
Detlef Schrempf	67	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	15	-16	17.4	15.6	1.78	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Jim McIlvaine	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	21	-28	18.2	16.4	1.80	16.2	15.5	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.7,0.61,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, DEN 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1	91.3%
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	91.3%
WAS 85, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.53,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1	91.2%