NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	2.5 [1193]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +8.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.0 [875]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -12.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Micheal Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Wheat	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	14	42%	0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Reggie Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	18	47%	-0.05	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.20	-0.00	-0.07	18	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	19	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	63%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.02	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	18	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Nate McMillan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	19%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	57.8	2.5	26.8	16.8	26.2	1.7	29.3	161.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.5%

MIN -2.9%

SEA +1.6%

SEA +9.7%

SEA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SEA	NBA	MIN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.6	86.5	112.5	102.5
season	14.8	15.3		105.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.7		102.3	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	17.3	16.5	13.7	15.3
SEA	13.9	11.5	16.2	17.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Wheat	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	9.6	15.8	-6.18	11.3	15.0	-3.69
Stanley Roberts	18	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-26	27	14.6	15.4	-0.84	13.4	15.0	-1.53
Micheal Williams	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-23	21	13.6	15.9	-2.30	16.5	14.0	2.46
Bill Curley	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-17	9	13.5	15.6	-2.12	15.0	14.7	0.33
Reggie Jordan	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.13	-10	-15	5	14.8	15.5	-0.66	14.6	14.8	-0.22
Terry Porter	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-22	19	14.8	15.9	-1.13	15.5	13.6	1.90
Tom Hammonds	42	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.42	-24	-1	-23	16.2	14.6	1.68	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Stephon Marbury	69	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	-10	-5	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.3	13.2	2.12
Kevin Garnett	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-7	-11	15.6	14.2	1.38	14.9	13.8	1.08
Sam Mitchell	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.18	-21	-4	-17	15.7	14.4	1.38	13.4	17.1	-3.68
Anthony Peeler	79	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.22	-25	0	-25	16.1	11.6	4.43	14.8	14.1	0.78

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	63	62	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.29	27	-2	29	13.7	16.7	-2.98	15.8	14.4	1.32
Vin Baker	57	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	6	13	13.6	16.3	-2.65	15.6	14.9	0.70
Jerome Kersey	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.32	24	1	23	14.6	14.8	-0.17	16.6	13.5	3.10
Gary Payton	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	6	13	14.6	14.9	-0.34	14.9	15.9	-1.01
Hersey Hawkins	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	7	11	14.2	16.3	-2.13	15.1	16.0	-0.94
Sam Perkins	32	32	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	16	-7	15.5	14.3	1.23	15.6	15.1	0.50
Dale Ellis	35	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	23	-21	16.5	13.7	2.89	16.5	14.5	1.98
Greg Anthony	36	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	20	-15	15.5	14.2	1.31	15.9	14.9	0.98
Nate McMillan	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	19	-13	15.2	14.5	0.66	14.4	15.6	-1.23
David Wingate	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	28	-31	17.0	14.2	2.75	12.7	15.8	-3.14
Jim McIlvaine	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	16.7	14.3	2.40	12.4	15.8	-3.43
Aaron Williams	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	11.3	15.0	-3.69	9.6	15.8	-6.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, HOU 130	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
NYK 90, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
NYK 82, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%