NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	7.7 [290]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +79.2%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	108.9 [3]		LVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): -18.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.79	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.17,0.79	0.06	0.75	0.02	15	69%	0.88	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	8	94%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.04	0.04	24	46%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01	0.18	0.01	0.20	6	100%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	0.04	3	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	3	0%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.09	0.09	0.22	-0.12	0.02	15	87%	0.22	2	-0.13	8	100%	0.04
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.07	-0.01	12	67%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	13	51%	-0.06	5	-0.12	13	77%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	-42.9	2.6	30.2	18.6	25.2	3.3	43.5	80.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +95.8%

HOU -27.3%

HOU -32.7%

UTA +15.1%

HOU -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.6	115.7	108.7	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.0		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.9	14.8	20.1	13.3	16.3
HOU	14.2	15.8	16.9	15.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	68	72	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.42	21	-18	39	16.4	15.8	0.60	15.6	15.4	0.21
Bryon Russell	82	84	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.33	16	-13	29	16.3	15.9	0.45	15.7	13.6	2.13
John Stockton	73	74	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.50	9	-6	15	15.0	22.1	-7.06	16.0	13.6	2.43
Karl Malone	80	82	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-7	17	16.7	12.3	4.38	15.4	16.6	-1.16
Antoine Carr	19	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.60	-13	16	-29	13.5	17.0	-3.49	13.4	16.1	-2.77
Greg Foster	11	12	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	0	3	19.6	15.8	3.84	13.5	15.9	-2.38
Greg Ostertag	68	71	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.20	6	-3	9	16.0	17.2	-1.27	16.6	11.9	4.74
Chris Morris	3	4	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	10	-17	18.0	16.2	1.79	16.2	15.5	0.72
Howard Eisley	16	18	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.09	-6	9	-15	22.1	15.0	7.06	13.6	16.0	-2.43
Shandon Anderson	25	24	-0.70	1.20	-1.90	0.00	-24	27	-51	15.6	16.5	-0.99	14.7	15.9	-1.22

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	47	45	0.38	-0.88	1.25	0.08	10	-13	23	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.0	17.6	-2.61
Kevin Willis	27	27	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.01	8	-11	19	14.8	15.9	-1.06	17.4	15.8	1.63
Sedale Threatt	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.43	11	-14	25	14.7	16.4	-1.68	15.8	16.8	-0.96
Hakeem Olajuwon	82	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-4	5	16.0	12.4	3.55	15.7	20.5	-4.77
Matt Maloney	45	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.02	-14	11	-25	16.4	14.7	1.68	16.8	15.8	0.96
Mario Elie	65	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.36	-11	8	-19	16.1	14.3	1.85	16.8	14.9	1.96
Clyde Drexler	72	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.54	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.49	16.6	15.1	1.48
Charles Barkley	75	72	-0.89	0.39	-1.29	-0.45	-15	12	-27	15.4	16.2	-0.82	16.4	15.6	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.58,0	89.5%
NJN 84, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.57,0.74,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.89,0.9,0.42,0	89.5%
WAS 88, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.58,0	89.4%