NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	1.8 [422]		MVP	Sam Perkins (SEA): +13.1%
Houston Rockets	101		Comeback	1.5 [463]		LVP	Mario Elie (HOU): -21.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.07	0.05	11	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.05	13	66%	0.04	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Detlef Schrempf	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.02
Terry Cummings	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.01	0.03	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.04	0.07	12	67%	0.13	6	-0.18	9	89%	0.03
Gary Payton	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	20	39%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	16	71%	0.18	3	-0.07	3	67%	0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.10	14	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	53%	0.00	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	5	25%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.01	4	62%	-0.05	6	-0.17	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	31.3	17.6	28.4	2.4	41.5	150.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.3%

SEA +8.0%

HOU -7.5%

SEA +11.8%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	15.6	112.8	105.2	104.4
season	14.9	15.5		108.9	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.2		103.0	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.9	11.9	17.0	16.3	14.5
HOU	15.3	18.1	13.0	17.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hersey Hawkins	81	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	13.6	19.8	-6.24	15.0	21.2	-6.15
Detlef Schrempf	80	81	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	14.3	15.1	-0.79	16.5	12.1	4.46
Gary Payton	94	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.5	0.0	14.47	15.8	0.0	15.83
Sam Perkins	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	4	-3	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.3	15.2	1.09
Terry Cummings	51	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-7	19	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.9	15.8	0.08
Shawn Kemp	79	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	6	-7	14.1	16.7	-2.62	15.6	16.7	-1.03
David Wingate	27	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.19	-9	14	-23	17.4	13.3	4.12	15.9	15.8	0.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Willis	40	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	16.2	15.6	0.63	16.2	13.4	2.80
Matt Maloney	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.18	-1	-4	3	14.7	16.9	-2.17	13.6	15.3	-1.66
Sedale Threatt	51	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-4	3	16.5	15.1	1.40	14.9	14.0	0.94
Mario Elie	67	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.41	4	-9	13	16.3	14.7	1.59	14.9	13.2	1.71
Eddie Johnson	37	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	9	-23	16.8	15.3	1.50	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Hakeem Olajuwon	77	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-5	5	16.6	12.7	3.93	14.4	14.9	-0.58
Clyde Drexler	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	15.3	20.6	-5.32	14.4	14.8	-0.34
Charles Barkley	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	14.8	19.4	-4.54	13.7	17.3	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.07,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.01,0	93.4%
LAC 116, NYK 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.34,0.24,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.3%
MIA 84, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.22,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.02,0	92.6%