NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	84		Excitement	1.6 [595]		MVP	Brian Grant (MIA): +7.9%
New York Knicks	81		Comeback	1.5 [379]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): -18.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	12	75%	0.20	3	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Duane Causwell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	11	55%	0.01	3	-0.04	7	100%	0.03
Anthony Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	9	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.02	16	39%	-0.04	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	19	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	7	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	17	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	41%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.01	11	27%	-0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.6	31.9	19.8	25.4	3.3	43.6	150.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +48.9%

MIA +18.5%

MIA +10.5%

NYK -24.0%

NYK -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	16.1	15.5	96.6	92.0	100.9
season	16.3	16.4		98.4	99.2
opponent	16.1	16.1		96.6	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	18.3	17.1	16.5	16.8
NYK	18.2	14.4	18.9	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	78	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-7	17	16.7	18.0	-1.33	16.7	11.7	5.01
Brian Grant	79	81	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-6	15	16.7	18.1	-1.45	16.3	14.0	2.30
Bruce Bowen	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	16.7	18.4	-1.69	16.4	12.2	4.24
Tim Hardaway	68	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	1	1	15.8	20.3	-4.49	16.8	13.8	2.96
Eddie Jones	65	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-4	11	17.2	15.7	1.44	16.6	14.7	1.98
Anthony Carter	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	4	-5	17.9	16.3	1.54	12.7	17.5	-4.80
Cedric Ceballos	16	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	7	-11	16.9	16.8	0.16	17.2	15.8	1.39
A.C. Green	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	14.2	16.9	-2.68	17.0	16.1	0.93
Duane Causwell	10	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	19.1	16.5	2.59	10.9	16.9	-5.95
Eddie House	7	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	21.0	16.4	4.56	10.5	16.7	-6.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	45	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.44	12	-15	27	14.7	17.6	-2.82	17.8	15.7	2.11
Luc Longley	7	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	1	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.37	13.2	17.1	-3.91
Glen Rice	52	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-11	19	16.5	15.6	0.90	15.8	18.4	-2.59
Marcus Camby	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-2	1	17.2	14.0	3.21	17.8	15.0	2.75
Erick Strickland	24	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	9	-21	14.5	16.7	-2.28	17.8	16.4	1.39
Latrell Sprewell	81	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-7	11	16.1	16.7	-0.65	16.8	16.4	0.41
Larry Johnson	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-4	5	16.5	14.9	1.65	16.1	19.1	-2.98
Kurt Thomas	31	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	9	-21	15.0	16.7	-1.77	18.5	15.9	2.66
Allan Houston	76	74	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	8	-19	16.6	12.7	3.89	16.0	21.3	-5.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.22,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 74, IND 72	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.15,0	93.9%
NYK 125, GSW 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	93.8%
GSW 81, LAL 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.16,0.05,0.04,0	93.8%