NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	8.7 [146]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (CHI): +32.6%
Washington Bullets	95		Comeback	31.4 [23]		LVP	Ron Harper (CHI): -22.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.33	-0.05	0.39	0.01	18	51%	0.45	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.10
Toni Kukoc	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Michael Jordan	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.29,0.09	0.10	0.05	0.06	24	58%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	74%	0.08	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Bison Dele	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	4	44%	-0.01	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.02
Ron Harper	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.22	-0.00	-0.08	0.14	5	42%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.10	0.00	11	83%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.08	0.03	10	82%	0.22	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Tim Legler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	52%	0.13	2	-0.20	3	100%	0.11
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	8	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	18	56%	-0.07	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	305.8	2.8	29.1	17.7	27.2	3.5	38.2	424.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.5%

WAS -27.4%

CHI +29.9%

CHI +17.4%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	18.3	15.2	15.6	111.6	110.5	104.4
season	15.5	14.8		110.5	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.1		103.3	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	21.1	18.4	17.2	16.7	18.3
WAS	13.2	15.9	16.3	15.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	76	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.50	9	-8	17	18.2	19.1	-0.92	15.7	12.0	3.67
Scottie Pippen	82	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.51	-4	5	-9	18.1	21.7	-3.63	15.1	16.2	-1.06
Ron Harper	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	3	-5	18.5	18.1	0.39	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Toni Kukoc	45	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-5	11	17.3	19.4	-2.05	15.3	15.1	0.23
Steve Kerr	33	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	-7	15	18.1	18.4	-0.28	15.8	14.7	1.09
Jason Caffey	14	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	0	1	21.0	17.8	3.24	14.7	15.3	-0.64
Randy Brown	16	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	6	-11	18.3	18.3	0.03	11.1	16.1	-5.00
Luc Longley	40	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	2	-3	19.0	17.7	1.37	15.5	14.9	0.58
Bison Dele	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	-2	5	21.5	18.0	3.54	15.8	15.1	0.65
Dennis Rodman	76	73	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.17	-10	11	-21	17.9	21.3	-3.41	15.4	14.2	1.14

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	76	76	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.19	10	-11	21	15.3	14.4	0.90	18.4	17.3	1.12
Jaren Jackson	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-3	5	14.5	15.3	-0.75	17.7	18.4	-0.65
Chris Whitney	16	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.09	-3	2	-5	14.9	15.3	-0.40	16.4	18.7	-2.35
Tim Legler	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-1	1	14.2	15.3	-1.11	21.4	18.1	3.30
Gheorghe Muresan	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	4	-9	15.6	14.9	0.76	19.3	17.5	1.79
Tracy Murray	54	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.0	15.5	-0.48	17.7	19.3	-1.63
Rod Strickland	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.56	2	-3	5	15.3	14.9	0.40	18.7	16.4	2.35
Juwan Howard	79	81	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.50	-1	0	-1	15.0	17.9	-2.90	18.1	21.4	-3.30
Calbert Cheaney	69	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	2	-5	15.4	14.4	0.98	18.2	18.9	-0.72
Harvey Grant	10	9	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.46	-7	6	-13	15.6	15.1	0.46	18.3	18.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.67,0.58,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.69,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.59,0.42,0	90.7%
HOU 90, DEN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.41,0	90.1%
CHH 102, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.68,0.27,0	89.3%