NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	106		Excitement	8.9 [33]		MVP	OG Anunoby (NYK): +82.8%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	203.1 [10]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAS): -25.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	9	95%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Castle	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.13,0.09	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	7	59%	0.27	3	-0.18	8	100%	0.11
Dylan Harper	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	12	81%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0,0	-0.02	-0.06	-0.08	25	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.15
Julian Champagnie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.26	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.01,0.01,-0.26	-0.02	-0.27	-0.03	16	53%	-0.12	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.83	0.83	0.30	0.67	0.15	15	92%	0.83	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	4	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	5	93%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	14%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.08	-0.01	4	55%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.28,-0.09	-0.09	0.11	-0.11	0.09	25	59%	-0.03	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	38.5	2.4	35.4	17.3	32.1	3.2	44.1	173.0
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.2%

SAS -12.3%

SAS -0.6%

NYK +1.1%

NYK +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	14.2	111.6	111.5	113.4
season	13.8	15.0		116.9	118.2
opponent	14.2	14.6		109.9	108.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	14.1	15.1	16.0	14.6
NYK	15.2	14.2	17.0	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	64	65	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.08	11	-12	23	14.4	15.0	-0.64	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Luke Kornet	45	45	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.14	6	-7	13	14.0	15.1	-1.06	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Dylan Harper	85	87	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.18	4	-5	9	14.7	13.4	1.34	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Julian Champagnie	86	86	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.25	0	-1	1	15.0	10.9	4.10	15.7	14.0	1.67
Carter Bryant	10	11	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-7	13	13.0	14.8	-1.79	15.9	15.4	0.46
De'Aaron Fox	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.6	0.0	14.60	15.5	0.0	15.50
Devin Vassell	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.6	0.0	14.60	15.5	0.0	15.50
Victor Wembanyama	95	96	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.6	0.0	14.60	15.5	0.0	15.50
Stephon Castle	87	90	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.51	0	-1	1	14.5	15.4	-0.85	16.0	7.8	8.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	96	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.5	0.0	15.50	14.6	0.0	14.60
Josh Hart	78	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	-4	9	15.3	16.3	-0.96	14.7	14.1	0.55
Mitchell Robinson	79	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	-2	5	16.3	11.9	4.40	14.6	14.5	0.09
Landry Shamet	90	88	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	1	-1	16.0	8.5	7.47	14.4	16.9	-2.44
Jalen Brunson	96	95	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	0	1	15.5	0.0	15.50	14.6	0.0	14.60
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	74	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.17	5	-4	9	16.3	12.7	3.63	15.0	13.1	1.87
Jose Alvarado	63	61	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.25	6	-5	11	16.1	14.3	1.82	15.2	13.5	1.67
Jordan Clarkson	33	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.29	6	-5	11	16.6	14.9	1.69	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Mikal Bridges	81	80	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.17	0	1	-1	15.3	16.7	-1.38	14.8	13.7	1.11
Ariel Hukporti	31	30	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	14	-27	15.0	15.7	-0.74	13.5	15.1	-1.56
Miles McBride	36	32	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	0.35	-28	29	-57	16.2	15.1	1.11	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Jeremy Sochan	43	41	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.33	-28	29	-57	16.0	15.1	0.99	13.0	15.8	-2.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.45,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.72,1	92.6%
SAC 110, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.41,1	92.1%
PHI 111, CHI 113	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.28,1	90.8%