NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	6.1 [82]		MVP	Nikola Vu?evi? (CHI): +56.9%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	44.9 [4]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -14.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
VJ Edgecombe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.02	-0.07	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.01	0.06	11	75%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.03	0.19	-0.11	0.05	26	68%	0.09	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Adem Bona	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jared McCain	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	11	40%	-0.05	4	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	-0.08	-0.11	-0.05	21	42%	-0.10	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.57	0.57	0.08	0.49	0.01	14	63%	0.58	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	8	80%	0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	70%	0.08	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.11	0.05	19	63%	0.13	5	-0.24	8	87%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	11	45%	-0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.0	31.1	0.0	24.5	0.0	38.0	0.0
league avg	26.2	2.2	28.6	14.8	29.1	2.3	32.6	136.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +81.3%

PHI -12.6%

CHI +4.8%

PHI -31.2%

CHI +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHI	NBA	PHI	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	12.3	13.7	104.7	104.6	110.9
season	14.4	13.3		115.0	111.9
opponent	13.8	13.0		112.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	12.9	14.5	16.0	14.6
CHI	13.9	12.4	10.7	12.2	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adem Bona	68	71	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.04	16	-18	34	14.7	14.5	0.16	12.9	11.0	1.96
Trendon Watford	91	94	0.39	-0.89	1.28	0.15	8	-10	18	14.4	15.8	-1.36	12.4	11.2	1.20
Jared McCain	86	85	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.09	9	-11	20	14.1	16.9	-2.80	12.5	11.3	1.27
Jabari Walker	53	55	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.00	10	-12	22	14.1	15.2	-1.08	12.5	12.0	0.55
Joel Embiid	93	97	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.61	6	-8	14	14.6	14.6	0.02	12.4	11.0	1.40
VJ Edgecombe	106	108	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.6	0.0	14.63	12.3	0.0	12.26
Quentin Grimes	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-1	0	14.5	24.0	-9.46	12.4	7.0	5.36
Tyrese Maxey	105	104	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.48	-1	-1	0	14.5	24.0	-9.46	12.6	3.7	8.84
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	80	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.59	2	-4	6	14.6	14.8	-0.23	13.0	10.1	2.91

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vu?evi?	89	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-6	14	12.3	12.2	0.12	15.0	12.8	2.23
Matas Buzelis	86	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	2	-2	12.4	11.5	0.90	14.7	14.1	0.59
Isaac Okoro	89	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-6	14	12.3	12.2	0.12	15.0	12.8	2.23
Tre Jones	106	105	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	12.4	7.0	5.36	14.5	24.0	-9.46
Josh Giddey	99	95	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.50	-1	3	-4	12.4	10.9	1.49	14.7	13.6	1.11
Kevin Huerter	100	100	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.36	2	0	2	12.3	11.4	0.96	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Julian Phillips	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	4	-6	12.9	12.2	0.75	10.5	15.2	-4.67
Dalen Terry	71	68	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	11	-20	12.2	12.5	-0.30	14.3	15.2	-0.94
Jalen Smith	77	73	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	12	-22	12.2	12.5	-0.27	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Patrick Williams	87	86	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	11	-20	12.3	12.3	-0.03	14.1	16.9	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 110, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.41,1	93.7%
WAS 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.22,0.28,1	93.7%
HOU 98, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.17,1	92.7%