inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 98 Excitement6.8 [505] MVPAl Horford (BOS): +24.9%
Boston Celtics 99 Comeback69.9 [14] LVPKyrie Irving (BOS): -28.5%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.010.05585%0.0700.00367%0.01
Nene0.040,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00956%0.0400.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0.020,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03756%0.042-0.01250%-0.01
PJ Tucker0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.04-0.02250%0.052-0.03250%-0.02
Tarik Black-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.04237%0.002-0.02425%-0.01
Briante Weber-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.02-0.00267%0.021-0.042100%0.01
Gerald Green-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon-0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.050.04-0.060.032349%-0.031-0.02367%-0.01
James Harden-0.230,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.17,-0.23-0.11-0.24-0.122749%0.178-0.3915100%0.12

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,0.250.25-0.080.29-0.041041%0.393-0.1420%-0.09
Terry Rozier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.110.11-0.01876%0.2300.001100%0.01
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.080.080.090.040.051158%0.0800.001182%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03642%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,00.00-0.03-0.01-0.041446%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Jabari Bird00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.01-0.041142%0.023-0.0420%-0.04
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.000.03250%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.28-0.28-0.01-0.220.061859%-0.066-0.23887%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.63.426.515.830.12.739.1143.1
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +63.9%
HOU -27.0%
BOS +7.1%
BOS +5.3%
BOS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUBOSNBAHOUBOSNBA
this game14.514.314.798.099.0107.5
season14.615.1112.8106.4
opponent14.714.8103.5105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU12.714.615.915.114.5
BOS14.014.214.814.314.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Anderson79780.37-0.871.230.196-71315.610.64.9915.410.54.86
Briante Weber31310.14-0.640.780.140-1115.214.21.0414.414.30.09
Nene3940-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-4715.114.20.8914.414.20.27
Gerald Green2023-0.12-0.380.260.05-65-1114.914.40.4915.314.01.26
Eric Gordon8483-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.511-2314.614.20.3814.513.21.34
PJ Tucker5353-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.34-54-914.314.8-0.5213.714.9-1.18
Trevor Ariza8280-0.510.01-0.53-0.572-3514.514.50.0114.214.6-0.39
James Harden8383-0.520.02-0.54-0.520-1114.116.6-2.5013.816.5-2.63
Tarik Black2929-0.850.35-1.21-0.68-65-1111.415.8-4.4112.215.1-2.93

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Rozier41410.75-0.250.990.605-4914.913.91.0014.414.6-0.20
Kyrie Irving81820.63-0.130.770.437-61313.716.6-2.8914.017.1-3.10
Jayson Tatum83840.60-0.100.700.426-51114.015.7-1.7114.713.31.43
Marcus Smart74740.58-0.080.670.493-2513.616.3-2.6714.215.5-1.29
Al Horford71710.52-0.020.540.66-56-1114.214.6-0.4214.115.5-1.42
Jabari Bird22-0.030.53-0.560.06-34-718.014.23.7913.014.5-1.54
Aron Baynes2424-0.060.56-0.62-0.153-2515.413.91.4816.413.92.45
Marcus Morris3937-0.080.58-0.65-0.142-1315.613.42.1715.513.91.64
Abdel Nader4445-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-23-514.214.4-0.2313.815.1-1.33
Shane Larkin2928-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-23-515.413.81.6317.013.63.41
Daniel Theis1212-0.150.65-0.800.11-910-1913.514.4-0.9012.014.9-2.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.17,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 110, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.41,189.8%
DEN 103, UTA 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.42,189.7%
WAS 117, GSW 1200.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.22,0.28,189.5%