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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Excitement8.3 [256] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +34.6%
Indiana Pacers 104 Comeback7.2 [359] LVPAndrew Nembhard (IND): -16.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.350,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.24,0.24,0.350.130.230.012460%0.452-0.1110100%0.08
Alex Caruso0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.130.09-0.01980%0.252-0.02771%-0.03
Chet Holmgren0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.060.01958%0.121-0.036100%0.04
Luguentz Dort0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.010.002100%0.051-0.02250%-0.05
Kenrich Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.02-0.00450%0.041-0.0400%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.01333%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.040.05-0.050.041857%0.084-0.1111100%0.05
Aaron Wiggins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00312%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Cason Wallace-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.00520%-0.051-0.0600%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Obi Toppin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.080.120.011261%0.1900.00425%-0.05
Bennedict Mathurin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.060.060.020.02-0.01267%0.081-0.02862%-0.04
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.01-0.05940%0.061-0.032100%0.03
Ben Sheppard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001150%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Pascal Siakam0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.04-0.020.021553%0.051-0.05875%-0.00
Tyrese Haliburton0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.011555%0.145-0.143100%0.04
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.02-0.00750%0.011-0.042100%0.01
Myles Turner0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.10-0.001046%0.031-0.146100%0.05
Andrew Nembhard0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.04-0.120.00956%-0.084-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.12.636.217.333.43.542.5168.7
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +23.3%
OKC +9.8%
OKC +10.9%
OKC +5.9%
OKC +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCINDNBAOKCINDNBA
this game14.414.814.4114.4104.0113.0
season13.813.9117.4114.9
opponent14.714.7112.8105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.414.116.114.314.4
IND12.316.513.417.614.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Caruso58610.71-0.230.930.3911-71814.315.9-1.6115.714.31.40
Chet Holmgren73750.61-0.120.730.2612-82014.914.90.0515.414.50.90
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander76770.410.070.340.50-37-1015.412.82.5515.812.63.24
Luguentz Dort63640.380.100.280.3513-215.014.60.4714.815.9-1.14
Kenrich Williams21210.230.26-0.030.027-31015.214.80.4417.314.62.76
Jalen Williams71730.220.26-0.040.31-37-1014.715.3-0.6014.517.3-2.74
Aaron Wiggins19210.090.40-0.31-0.127-31013.415.3-1.9112.415.9-3.52
Isaiah Joe9100.060.43-0.37-0.0022016.314.71.5912.715.5-2.77
Isaiah Hartenstein4341-0.140.62-0.760.10-812-2015.514.41.0514.415.8-1.37
Cason Wallace3737-0.140.63-0.770.03-610-1614.415.2-0.7616.414.42.04

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bennedict Mathurin3329-0.04-0.440.400.07-40-413.016.3-3.3613.715.4-1.79
T.J. McConnell4138-0.06-0.420.350.14-73-1015.115.2-0.0513.415.9-2.47
Andrew Nembhard6868-0.22-0.260.04-0.406-101615.414.70.7015.912.23.68
Pascal Siakam6970-0.23-0.250.02-0.5310-142414.117.9-3.7715.712.53.16
Obi Toppin5856-0.26-0.22-0.030.03-106-1615.714.41.2914.016.2-2.21
Ben Sheppard2223-0.28-0.22-0.070.01-103-1316.214.41.7813.214.8-1.66
Tyrese Haliburton7371-0.33-0.15-0.18-0.454-81214.617.0-2.3415.114.40.67
Myles Turner6058-0.490.01-0.50-0.31-62-815.714.21.5315.214.50.68
Aaron Nesmith5657-0.490.01-0.50-0.40-3-1-216.713.03.7815.414.11.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.78,0.32,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 89, CHI 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.27,091.6%
UTA 90, ATL 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.29,091.5%
NYK 108, BKN 1030.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.73,0.67,0.47,0.72,0.45,0.26,090.9%