NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	7.7 [357]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +59.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	43.0 [25]		LVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): -14.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.60	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.6	-0.01	0.61	-0.00	13	54%	0.68	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	15	53%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	9	94%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	62%	0.11	6	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Nesmith	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	50%	-0.04	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.01	30	56%	0.21	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Luguentz Dort	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.01	10	75%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Isaiah Joe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ajay Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	19	40%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chet Holmgren	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	3.5	28.8	16.0	28.0	3.0	38.7	147.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +106.4%

OKC -19.8%

IND +1.3%

OKC -41.4%

IND +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	OKC	NBA	IND	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.4	108.8	106.8	113.1
season	13.9	13.7		115.3	117.9
opponent	14.7	14.7		105.5	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	13.3	14.8	13.5	14.1
OKC	12.6	12.4	15.8	15.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	53	51	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.59	13	-12	25	13.4	14.8	-1.38	14.9	13.2	1.67
Andrew Nembhard	68	67	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.50	11	-10	21	14.1	14.1	0.00	15.4	11.6	3.77
Aaron Nesmith	66	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-12	25	13.2	15.6	-2.36	14.6	12.9	1.64
Tyrese Haliburton	81	82	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.32	12	-11	23	13.7	15.3	-1.60	14.8	11.1	3.64
Pascal Siakam	76	79	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.61	-10	11	-21	14.2	13.6	0.65	13.1	17.3	-4.24
Myles Turner	58	59	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.24	8	-7	15	14.0	14.1	-0.10	14.9	12.9	2.01
Bennedict Mathurin	35	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.03	-8	9	-17	15.1	13.5	1.61	11.9	15.1	-3.13
Ben Sheppard	20	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	13	-25	15.9	13.6	2.35	12.8	14.3	-1.53
Thomas Bryant	17	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.03	-9	10	-19	15.5	13.8	1.76	13.1	14.2	-1.10
T.J. McConnell	36	38	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.02	-13	14	-27	14.2	14.0	0.30	11.6	15.4	-3.81

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chet Holmgren	50	50	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.06	4	-5	9	14.4	13.7	0.62	14.2	13.9	0.32
Aaron Wiggins	21	20	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-7	13	12.2	14.5	-2.32	15.7	13.6	2.10
Isaiah Hartenstein	37	36	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.09	2	-3	5	13.6	14.3	-0.69	14.4	13.9	0.55
Isaiah Joe	23	23	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-4	7	13.4	14.2	-0.78	13.6	14.2	-0.58
Ajay Mitchell	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	12.3	14.2	-1.93	14.7	14.0	0.71
Kenrich Williams	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	5.5	14.2	-8.71	14.0	14.1	-0.06
Alex Caruso	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.55	2	-3	5	13.5	14.9	-1.48	14.1	14.0	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	83	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.59	3	-4	7	14.2	13.2	0.98	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Luguentz Dort	76	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.49	-3	2	-5	14.6	12.4	2.21	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Jalen Williams	79	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	3	-7	14.3	13.0	1.30	14.1	13.8	0.29
Cason Wallace	72	70	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.47	-13	12	-25	14.6	12.7	1.86	13.5	15.3	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.93,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.65,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.87,0	94.1%
BOS 101, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0	93.3%
DEN 117, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.92,0	93.3%