NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	117		Excitement	8.4 [217]		MVP	Monte Morris (DEN): +110.1%
Golden State Warriors	116		Comeback	99.0 [10]		LVP	Bones Hyland (DEN): -13.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monte Morris	1.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,1.1	0.09	1.02	0.01	6	87%	1.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	12	85%	0.24	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	24	61%	0.30	5	-0.12	9	67%	-0.04
Austin Rivers	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	11	23%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.5	0.50	0.09	0.41	0.00	19	60%	0.56	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	6	62%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	15	47%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	8	54%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	31.7	14.8	24.3	2.6	43.7	142.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +75.9%

GSW -21.6%

DEN +17.1%

GSW -24.9%

DEN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	13.6	14.5	113.6	112.6	110.8
season	14.8	14.2		113.4	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		106.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.4	15.2	14.0	14.9	14.3
GSW	13.3	13.6	12.6	15.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	75	76	1.11	-0.61	1.73	0.94	6	-5	11	13.9	15.6	-1.79	13.8	13.0	0.79
Austin Rivers	58	58	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.48	10	-9	19	14.4	14.2	0.21	13.9	13.3	0.55
Bryn Forbes	63	62	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-10	21	14.4	14.3	0.07	13.9	13.2	0.71
Monte Morris	69	68	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.54	5	-4	9	13.8	15.5	-1.73	14.1	12.7	1.37
Aaron Gordon	65	65	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.57	2	-1	3	13.9	15.1	-1.25	13.8	13.4	0.40
DeMarcus Cousins	27	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.10	-2	3	-5	15.9	13.8	2.10	13.0	13.8	-0.79
Bones Hyland	34	35	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	5	-9	15.5	13.8	1.73	12.7	14.1	-1.37
Jeff Green	40	41	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	11	-21	14.3	14.4	-0.07	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Will Barton	46	45	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.03	-11	12	-23	14.3	14.4	-0.14	13.3	13.9	-0.55
JaMychal Green	38	38	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.51	-2	3	-5	14.9	14.0	0.96	13.4	13.8	-0.40

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton II	57	54	0.46	-0.96	1.42	0.08	13	-14	27	13.4	14.0	-0.61	14.4	14.2	0.22
Jordan Poole	45	47	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.50	-2	1	-3	14.2	13.2	0.99	15.2	13.6	1.64
Jonathan Kuminga	40	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	0	-1	13.7	13.6	0.09	16.2	13.1	3.08
Nemanja Bjelica	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	3	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.58	16.0	13.6	2.41
Andrew Wiggins	79	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	0	-1	13.8	13.0	0.81	13.9	15.7	-1.78
Stephen Curry	83	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.55	-1	0	-1	13.7	13.4	0.21	14.5	13.6	0.87
Otto Porter Jr.	48	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	3	-7	13.9	13.4	0.55	14.1	14.5	-0.43
Klay Thompson	70	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.62	0	-1	1	13.2	14.4	-1.18	13.0	17.2	-4.18
Kevon Looney	61	61	-1.08	0.58	-1.65	-0.93	-5	4	-9	13.5	13.7	-0.20	13.5	15.6	-2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.92,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.65,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.87,0	93.5%
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	92.4%
PHI 129, POR 128	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.84,0.84,0	92.1%