NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.5 [387]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +23.3%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	18.6 [71]		LVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): -15.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.01	0.17	-0.01	17	60%	0.39	6	-0.19	6	83%	0.03
OG Anunoby	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	9	80%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	18	50%	0.13	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.06
Delon Wright	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	18	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.23	0.23	0.05	0.17	-0.02	14	52%	0.23	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.07	0.02	15	59%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.13	-0.00	12	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.15	-0.01	8	40%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.5	34.2	15.8	28.2	3.4	45.5	160.9
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +34.3%

NYK +8.9%

NYK +19.6%

IND -12.6%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	14.4	111.6	104.2	113.1
season	15.3	13.9		116.0	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.9	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	17.5	14.9	14.2	15.5
IND	13.7	14.5	16.4	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	66	67	0.51	-0.02	0.53	0.42	3	1	2	15.4	16.4	-0.95	15.1	14.3	0.85
Karl-Anthony Towns	65	65	0.41	0.07	0.34	0.24	6	-2	8	15.8	15.3	0.50	15.1	14.2	0.90
OG Anunoby	72	72	0.39	0.09	0.30	0.42	-1	5	-6	16.3	13.7	2.62	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Miles McBride	27	28	0.39	0.09	0.30	0.24	5	-1	6	14.4	16.2	-1.75	16.0	14.4	1.57
Mikal Bridges	73	72	0.36	0.13	0.23	0.36	0	4	-4	15.8	15.5	0.28	14.5	16.0	-1.43
Landry Shamet	21	22	0.22	0.26	-0.03	-0.13	12	-8	20	15.3	15.8	-0.52	16.7	14.3	2.38
Delon Wright	27	27	0.07	0.41	-0.34	0.01	2	2	0	14.9	16.0	-1.13	14.7	14.9	-0.22
Mitchell Robinson	57	56	0.05	0.44	-0.39	0.08	-1	5	-6	15.8	15.5	0.38	14.2	15.8	-1.51
Jalen Brunson	62	61	0.01	0.47	-0.45	0.19	-6	10	-16	15.9	15.2	0.72	14.2	16.0	-1.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obi Toppin	30	30	0.43	-0.91	1.34	-0.13	19	-23	42	12.8	15.8	-3.08	15.4	15.8	-0.48
Tony Bradley	29	29	0.08	-0.56	0.64	0.13	-2	-2	0	14.3	15.1	-0.75	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Ben Sheppard	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-7	8	12.5	15.9	-3.42	15.6	15.5	0.16
T.J. McConnell	29	30	-0.12	-0.36	0.24	0.06	-6	2	-8	16.1	14.3	1.85	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Bennedict Mathurin	15	16	-0.19	-0.30	0.11	-0.04	-5	1	-6	17.6	14.3	3.26	15.9	15.6	0.30
Aaron Nesmith	50	50	-0.27	-0.21	-0.06	-0.27	0	-4	4	15.0	14.7	0.25	16.3	15.0	1.26
Tyrese Haliburton	74	73	-0.34	-0.14	-0.20	-0.37	1	-5	6	14.3	16.8	-2.53	16.0	14.7	1.26
Myles Turner	65	65	-0.53	0.05	-0.58	-0.53	0	-4	4	15.1	14.3	0.75	15.8	15.3	0.50
Andrew Nembhard	75	73	-0.54	0.06	-0.60	-0.28	-9	5	-14	15.5	12.3	3.19	15.5	16.3	-0.77
Pascal Siakam	67	67	-0.82	0.34	-1.17	-0.27	-19	15	-34	15.7	12.8	2.87	15.6	15.9	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.66,0.67,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.25,0.19,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 109, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.17,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	91.5%
TOR 96, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.65,0.64,0.45,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	91.2%
MIN 112, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.03,0.04,0	91.1%