NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	7.4 [396]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +37.4%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.9 [313]		LVP	Cameron Payne (NYK): -8.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37	0.30	0.07	-0.00	23	72%	0.41	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Myles Turner	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.14	0.01	10	59%	0.22	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.03
Ben Sheppard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	7	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Andrew Nembhard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	16	41%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	27	61%	0.19	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	14	59%	0.16	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.01	18	53%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	33.0	16.4	30.5	3.5	38.3	152.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.3%

NYK -1.6%

NYK -4.7%

IND +11.8%

NYK -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	16.6	14.4	122.6	121.1	113.0
season	13.9	15.3		115.5	116.2
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.9	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.5	15.9	11.9	15.5	14.9
NYK	17.8	14.7	18.3	15.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	61	61	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-12	29	15.1	14.9	0.23	17.1	15.6	1.51
Pascal Siakam	64	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-11	27	14.0	17.3	-3.31	17.5	14.9	2.59
Aaron Nesmith	62	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-7	19	14.5	16.2	-1.70	17.0	15.8	1.19
Ben Sheppard	25	26	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.12	8	-3	11	13.5	15.4	-1.83	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Andrew Nembhard	71	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	5	-5	15.6	13.0	2.56	16.3	17.6	-1.25
T.J. McConnell	28	28	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	0	5	13.1	15.8	-2.70	17.7	16.2	1.55
Tyrese Haliburton	66	64	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.20	-2	7	-9	15.8	13.0	2.82	16.4	17.3	-0.93
Tony Bradley	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	4	-3	13.0	15.5	-2.48	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Obi Toppin	37	35	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	16	-27	16.5	14.0	2.54	14.8	17.8	-2.97
Thomas Bryant	9	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	14	-23	16.9	14.8	2.07	15.6	16.7	-1.12
Bennedict Mathurin	21	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	17	-29	16.8	14.5	2.25	15.8	16.9	-1.08

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
OG Anunoby	61	63	-0.10	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-10	12	17.1	16.6	0.44	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Miles McBride	47	48	-0.15	-0.34	0.20	-0.32	6	-14	20	16.2	17.9	-1.68	15.5	14.2	1.33
Jalen Brunson	67	69	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.18	1	-9	10	16.9	17.2	-0.36	15.0	14.5	0.49
Mitchell Robinson	56	56	-0.22	-0.27	0.04	-0.40	6	-14	20	16.0	18.8	-2.76	15.3	14.1	1.27
Cameron Payne	18	17	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	1	-10	17.2	16.9	0.36	15.3	14.8	0.51
Josh Hart	49	51	-0.37	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	5	-18	17.1	16.7	0.33	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Mikal Bridges	80	83	-0.51	0.02	-0.54	-0.22	-10	2	-12	17.1	13.8	3.34	14.7	19.5	-4.84
Karl-Anthony Towns	47	48	-0.60	0.12	-0.72	0.07	-23	15	-38	18.2	15.4	2.75	14.5	15.4	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.02,0,0	92.4%
MEM 105, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0	92.2%
MIN 104, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0	92.2%