NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	3.9 [1022]		MVP	Mike Conley (MIN): +14.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	121		Comeback	1.1 [1177]		LVP	Buddy Hield (GSW): -10.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandin Podziemski	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.05	19	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.01
Jimmy Butler III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.00	11	82%	0.01
Moses Moody	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	23	53%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Spencer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	11	42%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Gui Santos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinten Post	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.03	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	7	100%	0.17	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	9	77%	0.12	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	18	78%	0.17	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	15	69%	0.12	7	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.3	15.7	31.1	2.8	38.3	143.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.1%

GSW -6.7%

GSW -0.4%

GSW -3.8%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	14.4	111.1	119.8	113.1
season	14.5	14.7		112.9	114.8
opponent	14.7	14.5		110.2	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	14.6	15.6	12.2	14.2
MIN	15.0	13.7	14.4	15.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinten Post	22	22	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-20	29	13.1	14.5	-1.38	15.4	14.4	0.99
Gary Payton II	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.06	2	-13	15	13.5	14.3	-0.72	12.6	14.9	-2.32
Moses Moody	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-21	31	12.2	14.8	-2.62	15.5	14.3	1.11
Pat Spencer	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-6	1	13.7	14.2	-0.56	13.2	14.8	-1.61
Trayce Jackson-Davis	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.1	14.6	0.51
Gui Santos	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-10	9	13.7	14.4	-0.61	15.8	14.1	1.73
Kevon Looney	13	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	0	-11	14.6	14.1	0.52	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Draymond Green	73	77	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-2	-7	14.3	13.8	0.48	14.3	15.7	-1.41
Buddy Hield	59	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	2	-15	14.6	13.5	1.15	14.6	14.7	-0.17
Brandin Podziemski	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-9	7	14.7	12.1	2.52	14.9	13.7	1.16
Jonathan Kuminga	64	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.05	-12	1	-13	14.1	14.2	-0.10	14.5	14.9	-0.33
Jimmy Butler III	88	87	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	6	-23	14.2	13.7	0.49	14.4	15.9	-1.50

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	54	55	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	-10	31	15.0	14.2	0.83	15.0	13.1	1.97
Anthony Edwards	85	83	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-9	29	14.6	14.8	-0.21	14.4	12.8	1.61
Jaden McDaniels	86	83	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	9	-7	14.9	12.9	2.08	14.5	12.6	1.83
Julius Randle	90	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	7	-3	14.6	14.9	-0.31	14.4	12.7	1.70
Mike Conley	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	7	-3	14.5	14.8	-0.25	14.6	13.6	1.03
Donte DiVincenzo	58	56	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	4	3	14.6	14.7	-0.03	13.3	15.3	-1.93
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	31	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	11	-11	13.9	15.0	-1.10	12.7	14.9	-2.13
Naz Reid	47	45	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	14	-17	14.4	14.8	-0.43	13.2	15.0	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, ORL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DET 86, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BKN 104, TOR 116	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%