NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	6.9 [471]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +23.5%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	80.3 [9]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -26.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.04,0.24	-0.07	0.27	-0.03	19	40%	0.28	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.10
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	16	60%	0.25	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Josh Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.03	0.05	15	72%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	9	28%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	18	39%	-0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.09	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.09	0.00	17	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	11	18%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.10	-0.07	19	32%	0.21	3	-0.37	2	100%	0.05
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.19	-0.06	23	40%	-0.16	6	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	30.3	15.5	28.2	2.8	32.2	136.6
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +14.4%

NYK +15.8%

BOS -8.0%

NYK +26.2%

NYK +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.6	14.4	93.8	94.7	113.0
season	15.3	15.3		116.0	118.3
opponent	14.6	14.2		109.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.0	12.8	15.2	14.8	14.4
BOS	15.6	15.5	14.2	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	73	75	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.71	-1	2	-3	15.0	12.6	2.39	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Mikal Bridges	89	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.65	-6	7	-13	14.3	15.5	-1.17	15.2	19.0	-3.77
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	72	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	15.0	12.9	2.08	14.7	18.4	-3.70
Mitchell Robinson	42	39	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	-18	37	14.3	14.5	-0.28	18.3	13.7	4.52
Josh Hart	86	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.57	-7	8	-15	14.4	14.5	-0.04	15.3	18.4	-3.14
OG Anunoby	78	76	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.63	-11	12	-23	14.3	15.1	-0.78	15.6	15.5	0.08
Cameron Payne	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-3	7	13.2	14.6	-1.40	16.2	15.5	0.68
Miles McBride	34	32	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.45	9	-8	17	13.2	15.1	-1.83	17.3	14.7	2.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kornet	36	35	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.03	11	-12	23	15.4	15.7	-0.37	14.8	14.2	0.59
Payton Pritchard	42	45	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.15	1	-2	3	16.8	14.6	2.14	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Kristaps Porzingis	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	8	-17	17.7	14.8	2.84	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Jaylen Brown	82	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.52	3	-4	7	15.3	17.4	-2.08	14.8	12.2	2.58
Jayson Tatum	85	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.55	3	-4	7	15.2	18.5	-3.25	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Derrick White	81	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	15.0	19.0	-4.00	14.5	13.9	0.66
Jrue Holiday	67	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	0	-1	15.6	15.7	-0.13	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Al Horford	57	59	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.55	-11	10	-21	15.7	15.4	0.37	14.5	14.3	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.85,0.84,0.55,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0	92.4%
UTA 110, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.85,0.82,0.61,0.79,0.55,0.04,0	92.2%
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	92.1%