NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	5.4 [585]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +11.6%
Golden State Warriors	90		Comeback	237.1 [3]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -26.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.16	0.02	17	56%	0.21	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.07	0.02	9	52%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05	-0.06	0.11	0.00	21	48%	0.11	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jeremy Pargo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Selby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	7	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	10	40%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.12	-0.00	6	83%	0.07	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	12	77%	-0.02	7	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,0.04,-0.14,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.19	0.02	18	50%	-0.11	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	26.5	15.0	23.5	1.8	35.4	125.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +24.8%

MEM +7.7%

GSW -5.5%

MEM +23.7%

GSW -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.6	92.9	93.8	102.8
season	15.6	15.2		102.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.8	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	14.5	16.1	10.7	14.5
GSW	14.0	16.2	15.2	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	66	66	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.36	15	-14	29	13.3	16.8	-3.54	15.3	15.2	0.11
Tony Allen	77	74	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-8	17	14.1	15.7	-1.60	14.7	17.0	-2.22
Mike Conley	79	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-3	7	14.4	14.7	-0.34	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Rudy Gay	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-4	9	14.3	16.4	-2.12	14.9	20.0	-5.08
Marc Gasol	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.67	-4	5	-9	14.9	13.1	1.74	14.9	16.5	-1.69
Jeremy Pargo	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	-3	7	13.7	14.5	-0.80	12.9	15.4	-2.57
Sam Young	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	1	-1	16.7	14.4	2.28	18.0	15.2	2.85
Hamed Haddadi	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.4	14.3	2.12	20.0	14.9	5.08
Quincy Pondexter	7	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.4	14.3	2.12	20.0	14.9	5.08
Josh Selby	12	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	8	-15	15.3	14.3	1.00	18.2	14.9	3.32
Marreese Speights	49	48	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.22	1	0	1	15.1	13.8	1.33	15.4	15.1	0.35
Dante Cunningham	17	17	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	15	-29	15.6	14.2	1.37	16.4	15.0	1.35

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	30	31	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.07	12	-13	25	15.1	15.3	-0.15	17.3	13.1	4.14
Nate Robinson	22	23	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.04	6	-7	13	16.4	14.9	1.52	15.6	14.1	1.45
Klay Thompson	24	25	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.04	5	-6	11	16.2	14.9	1.35	15.8	14.0	1.75
Ekpe Udoh	36	35	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.08	3	-4	7	15.9	14.8	1.08	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Dominic McGuire	24	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.16	-3	2	-5	16.2	14.9	1.35	15.0	14.3	0.67
Brandon Rush	52	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.58	0	-1	1	15.3	15.2	0.06	13.4	15.8	-2.43
David Lee	73	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.54	-5	4	-9	15.0	15.9	-0.89	14.3	15.0	-0.72
Monta Ellis	75	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.49	-7	6	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.70	14.2	15.4	-1.17
Stephen Curry	74	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.51	-7	6	-13	14.9	16.4	-1.52	14.1	15.6	-1.45
Dorell Wright	70	71	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.49	-9	8	-17	14.8	16.3	-1.46	13.9	15.9	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 87, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.86,0.15,0	93.6%
PHI 127, BKN 125	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.71,0.42,0	93.3%
SEA 114, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.89,0.42,0	93.1%