NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	120		Excitement	6.8 [491]		MVP	Tyrese Haliburton (IND): +70.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	475.2 [6]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -21.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Haliburton	0.70	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.7	0.14	0.59	0.03	11	70%	0.70	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.05
Aaron Nesmith	0.20	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.06	13	82%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.05	0.02	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Ben Sheppard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.07	0.02	17	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Obi Toppin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	13	42%	-0.04	8	-0.18	5	60%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.09	0.01	30	59%	0.34	5	-0.11	21	81%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	9	85%	0.20	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Max Strus	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	18	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.23	-0.02	-0.05	14	7%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	2.8	31.1	16.4	28.5	3.4	46.5	160.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +55.5%

CLE -19.7%

CLE -0.8%

CLE -0.5%

IND +15.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	14.4	118.8	115.5	113.1
season	13.9	13.7		115.3	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.7		110.8	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	13.6	13.3	13.8	13.8
CLE	14.1	15.7	13.9	13.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	76	78	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-14	29	13.5	14.8	-1.34	14.1	15.2	-1.06
Tyrese Haliburton	77	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.39	11	-10	21	13.6	14.6	-0.99	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Andrew Nembhard	76	79	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-9	19	14.1	13.0	1.16	14.4	14.4	0.03
Pascal Siakam	64	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.60	1	0	1	13.7	14.0	-0.22	14.5	14.2	0.27
Aaron Nesmith	71	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	3	-5	13.7	14.0	-0.29	14.5	14.3	0.19
Bennedict Mathurin	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.19	8	-7	15	13.4	14.1	-0.78	15.0	14.0	1.08
Ben Sheppard	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Obi Toppin	33	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	3	-5	13.6	13.9	-0.29	13.7	14.8	-1.08
Jarace Walker	6	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	9	-17	17.0	13.6	3.37	12.7	14.5	-1.81
Thomas Bryant	21	20	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	10	-19	13.9	13.8	0.09	15.3	14.2	1.12
T.J. McConnell	29	28	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	16	-31	14.4	13.6	0.82	14.9	14.2	0.73

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	69	65	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.25	5	-6	11	14.1	15.1	-0.99	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Isaac Okoro	64	63	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.31	1	-2	3	13.3	16.1	-2.78	14.3	13.0	1.29
Javonte Green	24	21	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-5	9	15.5	14.1	1.49	13.1	14.0	-0.93
Craig Porter Jr.	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	3	-7	12.9	14.5	-1.65	15.0	13.7	1.27
Donovan Mitchell	77	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.76	13	-14	27	14.4	14.3	0.17	14.1	13.1	1.03
Jarrett Allen	79	80	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.50	-5	4	-9	14.1	15.5	-1.49	14.0	13.1	0.93
Max Strus	82	83	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	13	-27	15.1	11.8	3.31	13.3	16.1	-2.77
Sam Merrill	56	52	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.78	0	-1	1	14.3	14.5	-0.17	14.0	13.7	0.27
Ty Jerome	57	59	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.65	-5	4	-9	15.2	13.4	1.82	14.0	13.6	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.98,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 115, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.71,0.89,0.86,0.96,0	92.4%
POR 101, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.65,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.74,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.87,0	92.0%
CHA 111, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.79,0.77,0.9,0	91.7%