NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	121		Excitement	7.4 [412]		MVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): +36.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	1.7 [313]		LVP	Dean Wade (CLE): -5.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nembhard	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.23	0.15	0.02	10	96%	0.37	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	15	69%	0.21	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	85%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Myles Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.16	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.07	0.01	13	77%	0.22	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	30	48%	0.09	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	9	35%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	20	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	29.1	16.7	31.0	0.2	34.5	138.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +74.0%

CLE -3.0%

CLE -1.8%

CLE -21.9%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	14.4	122.2	110.9	113.0
season	13.9	13.7		114.9	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.7		110.8	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	14.7	17.0	16.3	15.4
CLE	13.9	14.7	12.5	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nembhard	75	78	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-12	33	15.2	16.1	-0.95	13.6	12.7	0.99
Tyrese Haliburton	75	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-2	13	15.6	14.9	0.70	13.2	14.1	-0.88
Myles Turner	70	71	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-2	13	15.2	15.9	-0.75	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Aaron Nesmith	52	54	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	14.3	16.6	-2.35	13.8	13.0	0.82
Pascal Siakam	67	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-7	23	15.2	15.7	-0.51	13.9	12.4	1.44
Obi Toppin	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	2	5	15.2	15.5	-0.31	13.6	13.3	0.21
Bennedict Mathurin	47	47	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	9	-9	16.6	14.3	2.35	13.0	13.8	-0.82
Thomas Bryant	10	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	11	-13	19.9	14.9	5.00	13.6	13.4	0.20
T.J. McConnell	32	32	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	15	-21	15.1	15.6	-0.46	13.5	13.4	0.17
Ben Sheppard	16	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	17	-25	16.3	15.2	1.08	13.1	13.5	-0.35
Jarace Walker	20	19	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	23	-37	14.8	15.6	-0.76	12.2	13.7	-1.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	59	60	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.18	10	-19	29	12.5	14.6	-2.10	16.4	13.9	2.44
De'Andre Hunter	63	60	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.20	7	-16	23	11.8	16.1	-4.27	16.9	13.1	3.84
Isaac Okoro	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-12	15	13.0	13.6	-0.66	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Dean Wade	33	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	12.9	13.7	-0.75	15.9	15.2	0.73
Sam Merrill	38	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	1	-11	14.7	12.6	2.08	14.5	15.9	-1.42
Max Strus	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	13.7	12.8	0.88	14.2	18.2	-4.06
Jarrett Allen	63	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.29	-9	0	-9	13.9	12.7	1.22	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Evan Mobley	75	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	11	-31	14.1	11.5	2.58	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Donovan Mitchell	71	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	10	-29	13.9	12.2	1.78	15.2	15.9	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.05,0.14,0.04,0	92.9%
DAL 93, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.28,0.19,0.07,0.04,0,0	92.6%
CLE 109, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	92.4%