NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	11.5 [32]		MVP	Tyrese Maxey (PHI): +46.6%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	134.1 [13]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -27.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.47	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.67,0.55,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.47	0.25	0.24	0.03	30	68%	0.67	3	-0.20	8	62%	-0.11
Tobias Harris	0.21	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21	0.16	0.08	0.02	11	79%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0.06,0.21,0.21	0.01	0.20	-0.00	13	48%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Cameron Payne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.02	-0.11	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.34,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.10	-0.01	19	43%	0.13	9	-0.40	6	67%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	11	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.39,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.01	32	55%	0.44	4	-0.31	9	67%	-0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	12	65%	0.21	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Josh Hart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	17	46%	0.07	2	-0.11	5	60%	-0.05
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	32.0	2.8	29.0	16.5	28.6	3.3	33.6	2.4	20.4	168.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +49.8%

NYK -12.1%

PHI +11.2%

NYK -4.8%

PHI +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	14.5	109.8	103.9	113.9
season	14.9	15.6		115.6	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.5	16.3	17.8	15.1	10.9	15.5
NYK	14.5	15.0	19.1	14.9	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	94	94	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-5	16	15.6	14.2	1.34	16.1	11.4	4.69
Joel Embiid	91	90	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.37	14	-8	22	15.6	14.1	1.56	16.0	13.7	2.21
Nicolas Batum	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	1	4	14.8	16.6	-1.83	14.9	17.0	-2.09
Kelly Oubre Jr.	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.25	7	-1	8	15.1	16.8	-1.74	15.5	16.3	-0.83
Tyrese Maxey	99	100	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	15.5	14.7	0.84	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Kyle Lowry	47	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.13	2	4	-2	16.5	14.6	1.95	16.8	14.7	2.11
Paul Reed	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.2	15.6	-1.38	14.0	15.9	-1.86
Cameron Payne	27	27	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.04	-7	13	-20	15.8	15.4	0.45	14.6	16.1	-1.45

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte DiVincenzo	46	48	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-9	12	16.2	15.3	0.95	16.2	14.8	1.41
Mitchell Robinson	51	50	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.07	2	-8	10	14.6	16.8	-2.25	15.8	15.2	0.59
OG Anunoby	86	84	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-2	-2	15.9	14.7	1.20	16.2	11.9	4.36
Miles McBride	67	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	15.0	16.9	-1.90	14.8	16.6	-1.79
Josh Hart	102	102	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.7	0.0	15.70	15.5	0.0	15.48
Jalen Brunson	99	99	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	3	-12	15.7	16.0	-0.31	15.3	22.3	-7.06
Isaiah Hartenstein	48	49	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	3	-12	17.1	14.5	2.58	15.5	15.5	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.83,0.8,0.71,0.78,0.98,0.46,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.32,0.08,0	89.7%
IND 105, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.15,0	87.5%
IND 118, NOP 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.73,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.17,0	87.3%