NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	10.7 [29]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +16.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	5.3 [157]		LVP	Tyus Edney (IND): -15.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	25	58%	0.28	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.15,0.14	-0.01	0.16	0.01	19	55%	0.26	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	17	59%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Zan Tabak	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.14	5	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	47%	0.02	1	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	7	31%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	1	67%	-0.05	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	19	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.05	-0.02	16	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.08
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.01	10	55%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	18.9	2.3	28.4	15.4	22.2	1.7	31.1	2.4	12.6	135.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +68.2%

CLE -13.6%

IND +40.1%

CLE -49.2%

IND +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.5	98.1	94.4	100.9
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.6	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.4	15.5	13.1	15.6	19.9	14.8
CLE	16.0	12.8	14.1	15.7	20.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	89	89	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-7	18	14.6	15.8	-1.22	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Jermaine O'Neal	97	97	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	14.9	13.8	1.07	15.3	11.8	3.48
Zan Tabak	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-12	28	13.5	15.6	-2.08	15.7	14.5	1.15
Jonathan Bender	52	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	10	-16	15.5	14.0	1.50	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Reggie Miller	56	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	-7	18	14.1	15.5	-1.42	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Jeff Foster	25	25	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.47	-7	11	-18	15.8	14.5	1.35	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Al Harrington	80	81	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.26	12	-8	20	14.2	16.4	-2.19	15.0	14.8	0.24
Tyus Edney	22	23	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	10	-16	15.6	14.6	1.04	15.3	14.9	0.39
Terry Mills	10	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	12	-20	13.8	14.9	-1.07	11.8	15.3	-3.48
Austin Croshere	54	55	-0.49	0.99	-1.48	0.07	-19	23	-42	15.3	14.2	1.07	14.3	15.7	-1.44

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	38	39	0.61	-1.11	1.73	0.06	19	-23	42	13.8	15.6	-1.72	15.4	14.4	0.93
Anthony Johnson	29	30	0.41	-0.91	1.31	-0.09	17	-21	38	13.5	15.5	-1.97	16.4	14.1	2.22
Chris Gatling	34	34	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.09	14	-18	32	15.0	14.9	0.11	15.4	14.5	0.95
Trajan Langdon	45	45	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.04	9	-13	22	14.8	15.1	-0.26	14.6	14.9	-0.25
Chucky Brown	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	12.7	15.2	-2.49	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Lamond Murray	70	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.42	11	-15	26	14.7	15.5	-0.86	15.7	13.0	2.70
Wesley Person	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	10	-24	15.6	14.7	0.90	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Matt Harpring	66	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.35	-14	10	-24	15.1	14.8	0.28	14.5	15.2	-0.77
Chris Mihm	73	73	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.29	-18	14	-32	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.5	15.4	-0.95
Andre Miller	78	77	-0.91	0.41	-1.31	-0.29	-21	17	-38	15.5	13.5	1.97	14.1	16.4	-2.22
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	59	-1.03	0.53	-1.56	-0.48	-19	15	-34	16.1	13.6	2.45	14.4	15.2	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.83,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.22,0.08,0	88.4%
PHX 112, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.32,0.08,0	88.3%
LAL 99, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.64,0.8,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.27,0	87.5%