NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	10.8 [21]		MVP	Mark Bryant (CHI): +12.7%
Boston Celtics	92		Comeback	8.3 [52]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -63.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	12	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Keith Booth	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	86%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kornel David	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.08	10	100%	0.09
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.06	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.06
Cory Carr	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.38,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.42,-0.42	-0.16	-0.26	-0.00	18	37%	-0.32	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.06
Toni Kukoc	-0.63	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.16,-0.38,-0.43,-0.43,-0.51,-0.56,-0.56,-0.63	-0.22	-0.41	-0.00	26	36%	-0.31	6	-0.32	3	67%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	46%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Riley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	5	56%	-0.02	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	0.02	-0.19	0.01	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.25	10	70%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,0,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.16	0.02	23	52%	-0.05	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.05
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	11	33%	-0.21	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33	-0.33	-0.29	-0.09	-0.04	15	18%	-0.22	5	-0.11	4	25%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	25.4	14.8	28.2	1.6	36.5	1.8	24.4	161.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -13.5%

CHI +23.0%

CHI +41.1%

CHI +0.9%

BOS -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.5	15.8	92.2	91.1	99.6
season	16.7	15.0		90.6	98.1
opponent	15.8	15.4		100.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.9	18.3	14.6	18.8	18.1	16.6
BOS	13.3	15.1	14.2	15.5	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	70	70	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-4	11	16.3	17.2	-0.87	15.1	13.2	1.94
Randy Brown	85	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.19	13	-10	23	16.2	18.4	-2.21	15.1	11.7	3.42
Keith Booth	34	32	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	-3	9	14.5	17.7	-3.12	15.3	14.2	1.18
Toni Kukoc	86	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-1	5	16.7	16.1	0.60	15.0	12.5	2.48
Dickey Simpkins	83	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	0	3	16.8	15.9	0.90	14.7	13.8	0.98
Cory Carr	31	30	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-2	7	15.3	17.2	-1.95	14.8	14.4	0.33
Brent Barry	79	79	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.28	-6	9	-15	17.0	15.5	1.46	14.0	16.3	-2.28
Ron Harper	5	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	5	-7	19.6	16.5	3.13	8.7	14.7	-6.05
Rusty LaRue	14	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	8	-13	21.3	15.9	5.40	12.1	15.0	-2.94
Kornel David	4	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	14.5	16.7	-2.21	4.5	14.9	-10.45
Bill Wennington	24	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	9	-15	18.5	16.1	2.40	12.9	15.1	-2.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	54	56	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-13	23	13.9	15.2	-1.31	17.1	16.0	1.06
Bruce Bowen	14	12	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.05	4	-7	11	13.7	14.7	-0.95	19.2	16.3	2.98
Greg Minor	20	20	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-8	13	13.5	14.8	-1.29	18.9	16.1	2.83
Marlon Garnett	12	13	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-8	13	10.7	15.1	-4.39	16.8	16.6	0.17
Eric Riley	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	16.5	14.5	2.05	20.7	16.5	4.30
Tony Battie	64	62	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-5	7	13.7	15.9	-2.18	17.9	14.8	3.10
Vitaly Potapenko	54	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-10	17	14.4	14.7	-0.39	15.6	17.8	-2.14
Paul Pierce	81	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	5	-13	14.8	13.5	1.29	16.1	18.9	-2.83
Antoine Walker	80	84	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	10	-23	15.2	12.0	3.20	16.2	18.6	-2.46
Ron Mercer	77	80	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.30	-16	13	-29	15.2	12.3	2.94	16.0	18.7	-2.67
Dana Barros	45	45	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.46	-11	8	-19	15.4	13.9	1.48	16.3	16.8	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.83,0.68,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.52,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 100, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.54,0.39,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.23,0.05,0	89.4%
DEN 102, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.46,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.15,0.27,0	89.3%
PHX 112, NOP 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.75,0.92,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.32,0.08,0	89.2%