NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	8.8 [153]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +42.6%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	14.6 [261]		LVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): -32.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	8	74%	0.21	1	-0.06	7	29%	-0.13
Tyus Jones	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	18	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	21	42%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29	-0.16	-0.09	0.03	19	32%	-0.14	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.03,0.09,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.43	0.43	0.06	0.37	0.00	25	54%	0.50	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.17
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.02	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	13	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.01
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.12	-0.01	12	47%	0.18	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.09
Jonathan Kuminga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	20	33%	-0.14	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	3.4	26.5	16.5	25.4	3.4	40.4	139.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -5.6%

GSW +59.0%

GSW +9.7%

MEM -11.5%

MEM -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	13.6	14.5	94.2	97.1	110.8
season	14.1	14.2		112.9	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.3		106.7	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.6	12.5	14.7	16.5	14.0
GSW	14.6	14.1	14.7	11.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	58	57	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.12	13	-16	29	14.8	13.0	1.80	14.1	13.1	0.90
De'Anthony Melton	21	22	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-6	9	9.8	15.1	-5.31	15.1	13.2	1.89
Brandon Clarke	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	3	-9	10.4	15.3	-4.97	15.0	13.2	1.78
Desmond Bane	79	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.48	8	-11	19	14.4	12.8	1.59	13.4	14.3	-0.88
Kyle Anderson	47	49	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	4	-11	14.7	13.5	1.15	13.6	13.7	-0.02
Ziaire Williams	42	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.14	-10	7	-17	13.1	14.7	-1.60	13.8	13.6	0.21
Jaren Jackson Jr.	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	14.3	13.3	1.00	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Dillon Brooks	85	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	2	-7	14.4	12.7	1.67	13.3	15.3	-2.04
Tyus Jones	87	88	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.46	-9	6	-15	14.9	9.6	5.26	13.4	14.7	-1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	83	84	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-9	21	13.6	14.0	-0.45	14.7	11.1	3.59
Draymond Green	70	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-3	9	13.0	15.0	-2.01	15.1	11.8	3.22
Stephen Curry	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-3	9	13.2	15.5	-2.30	14.4	12.7	1.68
Klay Thompson	84	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	6	-9	13.4	14.6	-1.18	14.2	13.6	0.60
Otto Porter Jr.	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	13.2	14.2	-0.95	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Jordan Poole	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	-2	7	14.4	12.1	2.30	13.4	15.2	-1.75
Jonathan Kuminga	12	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	8	-13	13.3	13.7	-0.35	14.0	14.1	-0.05
Kevon Looney	34	33	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	6	-9	15.0	13.0	2.01	11.8	15.1	-3.22
Damion Lee	29	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	10	-17	15.0	13.1	1.93	12.2	14.7	-2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.41,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	92.4%
GSW 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,1	92.0%
ORL 110, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.09,0.23,1	91.5%