inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 101 Excitement5.7 [687] MVPJrue Holiday (MIL): +7.2%
Boston Celtics 89 Comeback2.0 [309] LVPJaylen Brown (BOS): -20.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jrue Holiday0.070,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.050.032054%0.122-0.056100%0.01
Bobby Portis0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.011258%0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Grayson Allen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.00-0.00869%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Jevon Carter0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01470%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Thanasis Antetokounmpo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luca Vildoza0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rayjon Tucker0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Nwora0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Brook Lopez-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00743%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.030.00667%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Wesley Matthews-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.02736%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.160.00-0.022539%-0.055-0.091155%-0.04

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.01662%0.102-0.054100%0.03
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.001100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00650%0.0100.0000%0.00
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04657%0.0000.002100%0.01
Luke Kornet00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Fitts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Hauser00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Nesmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Payton Pritchard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00837%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Al Horford0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.020.011155%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001848%0.023-0.06862%-0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.060.011138%-0.063-0.10475%-0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.15-0.050.011343%-0.077-0.13250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.13.528.215.036.22.734.3148.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +30.7%
BOS -3.0%
MIL +10.6%
MIL +11.7%
MIL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILBOSNBAMILBOSNBA
this game14.114.414.599.089.0110.8
season13.714.9112.2112.2
opponent14.714.8105.7109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL12.113.414.616.714.1
BOS15.114.313.115.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jevon Carter46420.69-0.190.89-0.0425-133813.614.6-1.0216.313.03.31
Giannis Antetokounmpo80810.62-0.120.75-0.0523-113413.416.6-3.1414.613.31.33
Pat Connaughton45440.370.130.250.08102813.914.3-0.4715.013.91.01
Grayson Allen60580.320.180.140.1757-214.713.21.5113.615.4-1.79
Bobby Portis69700.290.210.07-0.041111014.214.00.1413.815.8-2.06
Jrue Holiday75740.110.39-0.290.19-315-1815.011.73.3514.314.7-0.36
Wesley Matthews62600.100.40-0.290.13-113-1414.014.3-0.2814.114.7-0.60
Thanasis Antetokounmpo220.000.50-0.500.00012-1214.514.10.3816.514.32.15
Luca Vildoza220.000.50-0.500.00012-1214.514.10.3816.514.32.15
Rayjon Tucker220.000.50-0.500.00012-1214.514.10.3816.514.32.15
Serge Ibaka220.000.50-0.500.00012-1214.514.10.3816.514.32.15
Jordan Nwora220.000.50-0.500.00012-1214.514.10.3816.514.32.15
Brook Lopez6361-0.010.51-0.510.29-1022-3213.914.4-0.5013.815.4-1.63

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kornet34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141613.714.4-0.7516.014.11.95
Malik Fitts34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141613.714.4-0.7516.014.11.95
Nik Stauskas34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141613.714.4-0.7516.014.11.95
Sam Hauser34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141613.714.4-0.7516.014.11.95
Aaron Nesmith34-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141613.714.4-0.7516.014.11.95
Daniel Theis910-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-9615.414.31.1613.314.2-0.92
Marcus Smart7170-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-151813.616.2-2.5614.114.10.05
Robert Williams III5150-0.17-0.330.170.01-6-6013.615.2-1.5213.015.2-2.17
Derrick White3435-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.03-8-4-414.914.10.7514.513.90.63
Al Horford7678-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-8414.314.5-0.2014.313.70.55
Jayson Tatum8485-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.10-8-4-414.215.6-1.4013.915.1-1.19
Jaylen Brown8080-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-120-1214.514.10.3614.214.00.22
Payton Pritchard2224-0.42-0.08-0.330.08-175-2216.913.73.2313.114.4-1.37
Grant Williams5858-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.01-153-1815.013.51.4914.813.21.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 94, POR 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,095.3%
CLE 98, MIN 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
ATL 89, WAS 780.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,094.8%