NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	103		Excitement	9.3 [111]		MVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): +113.5%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	18.8 [73]		LVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): -13.5%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,0.25	-0.06	0.28	-0.02	23	46%	0.35	3	-0.10	10	50%	-0.16
Luke Kennard	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.09	0.00	7	71%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	5	87%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Terance Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	59%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.05	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deandre Ayton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,1.13	1.13	0.17	0.97	0.01	15	77%	1.17	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	5	110%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0.13	0.13	-0.10	0.19	-0.04	16	49%	0.36	7	-0.23	9	100%	0.07
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.02	0.00	24	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.12	-0.02	7	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.3	26.6	16.3	31.3	2.8	50.9	158.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.0%

PHX +19.2%

LAC -12.7%

PHX +3.0%

LAC -18.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	16.2	14.4	109.6	114.3	111.3
season	14.9	14.7		116.6	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	15.6	16.0	12.9	14.9
PHX	14.7	17.1	15.3	17.8	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	34	35	0.60	-1.10	1.69	0.36	8	-9	17	14.7	15.0	-0.37	17.8	15.2	2.58
Reggie Jackson	76	73	0.42	-0.92	1.33	0.42	0	-1	1	14.9	14.9	-0.04	16.1	17.0	-0.95
Rajon Rondo	32	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-3	5	15.0	14.9	0.08	17.4	15.6	1.74
Terance Mann	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	2	-5	14.7	15.0	-0.30	15.9	16.5	-0.59
Marcus Morris Sr.	50	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	4	-9	15.4	14.3	1.08	15.0	17.6	-2.66
Patrick Beverley	53	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	0	-1	14.8	15.0	-0.19	16.0	16.6	-0.59
Paul George	81	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.8	15.5	-0.63	16.2	16.6	-0.44
Nicolas Batum	32	30	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.55	-4	3	-7	13.8	15.5	-1.67	17.0	15.9	1.08
Ivica Zubac	66	65	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.77	0	-1	1	15.4	13.8	1.61	16.2	16.3	-0.04
DeMarcus Cousins	8	8	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.83	-2	1	-3	15.4	14.9	0.50	15.4	16.3	-0.95

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	65	69	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.65	4	-3	7	15.8	17.3	-1.55	14.9	15.0	-0.17
Devin Booker	77	80	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.58	4	-3	7	16.4	15.3	1.13	15.0	14.4	0.66
Mikal Bridges	67	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	1	-1	15.8	17.5	-1.77	14.5	16.1	-1.64
Cameron Johnson	43	45	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	2	-3	17.4	15.2	2.19	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Jae Crowder	62	66	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	3	-5	16.0	16.7	-0.61	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Cameron Payne	72	74	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	-3	7	16.4	15.7	0.64	15.1	14.0	1.10
Dario Saric	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	2	-3	17.5	15.8	1.71	15.6	14.7	0.95
E'Twaun Moore	21	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	2	-3	14.4	16.8	-2.36	15.4	14.8	0.65
Torrey Craig	23	21	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.17	-2	3	-5	16.5	16.1	0.37	15.8	14.7	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 83, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	94.2%
ATL 86, BKN 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.95,0.85,1	93.4%
PHI 85, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	92.9%