inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 111 Excitement10.2 [73] MVPJimmy Butler (MIA): +68.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 108 Comeback3.0 [242] LVPMarkieff Morris (LAL): -34.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.680,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.27,0.680.180.520.021970%0.833-0.1512100%0.23
Duncan Robinson0.390,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.210.190.011579%0.461-0.073100%0.02
Kendrick Nunn0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.070.001164%0.1500.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.040,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.001246%0.033-0.07475%-0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.04-0.031341%0.023-0.101100%0.01
Tyler Herro-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09-0.01-0.030.041150%-0.042-0.052100%0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.560.560.280.290.012183%0.694-0.14667%0.03
Anthony Davis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.460.460.160.300.011574%0.502-0.048100%0.08
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.00150%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.07,0.07,-0.08-0.080.06-0.14-0.001552%-0.0800.001100%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.001032%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.05-0.00725%-0.101-0.032100%0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.05-0.10-0.00350%-0.013-0.1500%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25-0.250.00-0.230.02850%-0.211-0.0400%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.34-0.34-0.09-0.25-0.0020%-0.043-0.3000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.730.314.829.63.538.0148.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +53.5%
MIA +20.0%
LAL -50.3%
MIA +26.5%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game16.114.314.2118.1113.7109.6
season14.714.2111.7111.8
opponent14.414.5106.2108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.016.416.816.316.1
LAL15.612.415.214.414.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duncan Robinson72720.76-0.261.010.557-41116.016.7-0.7715.012.22.81
Bam Adebayo75730.58-0.080.660.5221116.215.90.2415.012.03.00
Jimmy Butler93940.54-0.040.580.395-2716.118.0-1.8814.320.0-5.71
Jae Crowder77780.460.040.430.4312-116.315.40.8914.513.70.78
Andre Iguodala39430.100.40-0.300.13-14-515.116.9-1.7713.015.5-2.50
Tyler Herro58580.100.40-0.300.16-25-716.515.60.9415.213.02.21
Kendrick Nunn5657-0.040.54-0.57-0.1230316.515.70.8112.716.9-4.20

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green44450.16-0.660.83-0.1912-152715.413.41.9816.815.61.18
Dwight Howard3029-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-30-317.013.13.8316.016.2-0.15
Anthony Davis8482-0.21-0.290.08-0.427-101714.314.6-0.3316.215.70.54
LeBron James8282-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.497-101714.414.10.3116.513.43.12
Rajon Rondo4038-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-1310-2312.315.8-3.4515.316.7-1.34
Alex Caruso4545-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.24-63-913.615.0-1.3816.515.80.67
Markieff Morris4344-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.36-2-1-114.714.00.6816.016.2-0.17
Kyle Kuzma4645-0.48-0.01-0.470.01-1714-3112.616.0-3.4115.716.6-0.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.32,0.26,0.53,0.73,0.62,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 104, LAC 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.18,090.4%
BKN 119, MIL 1160.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.46,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.2,0.37,090.1%
WAS 83, PHI 800.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.51,0.59,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.43,0.27,089.9%