inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement2.8 [1064] MVPAnthony Davis (LAL): +11.1%
Los Angeles Lakers 116 Comeback2.8 [622] LVPAndre Iguodala (MIA): -6.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jimmy Butler0.100,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.140.000.041374%0.142-0.045100%0.00
Jae Crowder0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.000.01875%0.0900.0000%0.00
Kendrick Nunn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.150.000.151182%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04533%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Solomon Hill-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01837%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Duncan Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyler Herro-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.031838%0.012-0.0410%-0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01836%-0.0400.00667%-0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.02250%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.00-0.010.05750%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.180.000.072165%0.131-0.0210100%0.01
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01671%0.091-0.02250%-0.00
Danny Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.03961%0.102-0.0400%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.090.020.061762%0.102-0.04683%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.020.00-0.05744%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.070.01-0.10721%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02667%0.0320.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011052%0.041-0.025100%0.01
JR Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quinn Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Dudley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.000.020100%0.001-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.43.434.214.832.82.829.2144.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.5%
LAL +9.4%
LAL +8.9%
MIA -4.0%
MIA -1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALALNBAMIALALNBA
this game13.915.514.2101.0117.2109.6
season14.714.2111.7111.8
opponent14.414.5106.2108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.713.715.512.613.9
LAL15.113.417.216.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk3436-0.01-0.490.49-0.4214-324612.614.6-1.9717.614.33.22
Kendrick Nunn3840-0.01-0.490.47-0.258-263413.014.4-1.3816.914.52.42
Goran Dragic3231-0.06-0.440.38-0.091-192013.614.0-0.3615.715.40.34
Solomon Hill3938-0.11-0.390.27-0.203-212412.314.9-2.6515.915.20.68
Derrick Jones Jr.1615-0.12-0.380.25-0.10-1-171611.114.4-3.2817.715.12.63
Bam Adebayo4343-0.15-0.350.200.20-12-6-615.712.43.2115.015.9-0.98
Jimmy Butler6668-0.17-0.330.160.24-14-4-1014.412.81.5615.515.6-0.11
Duncan Robinson5355-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-10214.812.81.9615.915.10.79
Jae Crowder4851-0.35-0.15-0.190.27-213-2415.012.82.2015.016.0-0.96
Andre Iguodala5356-0.560.06-0.620.17-257-3213.314.5-1.1613.717.8-4.08
Tyler Herro6362-0.700.20-0.900.33-3517-5214.013.70.2914.617.1-2.52

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis77760.54-0.040.59-0.1323-52815.914.11.8214.113.01.04
Alex Caruso46460.460.040.410.10126614.716.2-1.5513.714.0-0.24
Rajon Rondo49500.410.090.320.09117416.414.61.7513.014.8-1.87
Kyle Kuzma48460.310.190.12-0.01117414.216.7-2.5613.214.4-1.19
Danny Green62580.310.190.12-0.3121-32414.916.5-1.5214.712.62.18
LeBron James76750.250.250.00-0.04108215.615.30.3214.013.30.71
Markieff Morris38370.200.30-0.100.23-119-2015.615.50.0813.214.3-1.14
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope61600.150.35-0.210.09216-1415.715.20.5214.113.40.74
JR Smith330.000.50-0.50-0.03117-1614.715.5-0.8610.714.0-3.30
Quinn Cook330.000.50-0.50-0.03117-1614.715.5-0.8610.714.0-3.30
Jared Dudley330.000.50-0.50-0.03117-1614.715.5-0.8610.714.0-3.30
Dwight Howard2928-0.130.63-0.76-0.07-220-2217.214.82.4615.213.31.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 72, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
ATL 113, SAC 1350.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
UTA 54, CHI 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%