inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement21.7 [14] MVPAnthony Davis (LAL): +116.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 105 Comeback14.7 [110] LVPAlex Caruso (LAL): -19.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.490,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,0.06,0.490.090.430.032058%0.542-0.051292%0.03
Michael Porter Jr.0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.00975%0.152-0.07250%-0.01
Monte Morris0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.02-0.00490%0.111-0.032100%0.02
Torrey Craig0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00260%0.0400.001100%0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00250%0.031-0.0400%0.00
PJ Dozier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.00520%-0.13
Jerami Grant-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.010.02487%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00640%0.013-0.07367%-0.01
Gary Harris-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.030.00625%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.150,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15-0.03-0.12-0.001954%0.005-0.15887%0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,1.161.160.111.04-0.012358%1.191-0.037100%0.05
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.001100%0.0400.001100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.030.030.05-0.02-0.00679%0.072-0.042100%0.01
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.030.002059%0.156-0.17475%-0.01
JaVale McGee0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01343%0.032-0.051100%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01750%0.044-0.102100%0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.02-0.00350%0.075-0.1400%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.19-0.19-0.04-0.16-0.011439%-0.161-0.0200%0.00
Alex Caruso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.2-0.200.03-0.220.01664%-0.151-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.32.736.116.328.53.339.1155.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +38.0%
LAL +4.5%
LAL +9.8%
DEN -3.8%
LAL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game14.215.114.2104.0107.1109.6
season15.014.2112.0111.8
opponent14.414.5106.2110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.312.514.614.514.2
LAL13.514.214.219.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap56580.49-0.991.470.229-112014.214.10.1015.414.60.84
Torrey Craig4545-0.04-0.460.430.05-31-415.812.83.0714.315.7-1.41
Jamal Murray8889-0.10-0.400.29-0.5716-183414.313.01.3215.312.92.40
Michael Porter Jr.4340-0.14-0.360.210.03-64-1014.214.10.1114.615.4-0.84
Monte Morris2928-0.16-0.340.180.05-75-1214.114.2-0.1013.415.7-2.30
PJ Dozier2726-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.401-3414.614.00.5317.414.23.20
Gary Harris5453-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-1412-2613.814.6-0.8714.415.8-1.43
Jerami Grant5353-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1012.915.6-2.6815.714.31.41
Nikola Jokic8280-0.620.12-0.73-0.44-64-1013.915.6-1.7814.517.8-3.32
Mason Plumlee1818-0.710.21-0.93-0.741-3414.814.00.7417.814.53.32

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rajon Rondo45441.00-0.501.490.797-51214.215.8-1.6514.414.00.47
Anthony Davis81820.65-0.150.790.418-61414.517.6-3.1213.915.6-1.78
Danny Green56580.63-0.130.750.3310-81815.214.80.4213.914.5-0.54
Dwight Howard25260.54-0.040.570.2410-81816.414.61.8412.714.7-2.06
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope64640.390.110.280.45-24-615.713.91.8714.114.2-0.09
LeBron James73750.080.42-0.340.38-1012-2215.115.00.1014.413.60.78
JaVale McGee2525-0.010.51-0.530.04-24-615.215.00.2314.813.90.89
Kyle Kuzma4242-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-24-614.615.4-0.8815.313.41.93
Markieff Morris1818-0.180.68-0.860.06-810-1817.114.62.5015.114.01.08
Alex Caruso6161-0.511.01-1.52-0.48-13-414.715.7-1.0113.814.8-1.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.91,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 93, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,192.4%
MIA 88, NYK 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,192.2%
ATL 98, WAS 1140.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.9,0.93,0.97,1,1,192.1%