inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 125 Excitement13.7 [5] MVPNorman Powell (TOR): +70.0%
Boston Celtics 122 Comeback4.6 [212] LVPPascal Siakam (TOR): -43.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norman Powell0.700,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.28,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.45,0.70.160.53-0.011174%0.761-0.06989%0.14
Kyle Lowry0.540,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.540.260.28-0.002075%0.571-0.03475%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.100.03-0.03972%0.1500.0000%0.00
OG Anunoby0.050,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,0.05-0.060.11-0.001150%0.264-0.21425%-0.09
Marc Gasol0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01757%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Matt Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.240,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.06-0.180.012244%-0.132-0.114100%0.02
Pascal Siakam-0.430,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.44,-0.44,-0.44,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.43,-0.43-0.16-0.29-0.011929%-0.243-0.20450%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.6,0.60.600.150.42-0.031182%0.6000.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart0,0,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.180.180.130.060.011570%0.312-0.133100%0.02
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.002150%0.1300.0000%0.00
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.050.023048%0.093-0.075100%0.10
Brad Wanamaker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02743%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Semi Ojeleye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29-0.29-0.01-0.32-0.042156%0.316-0.601070%0.01
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.31,-0.31,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41-0.41-0.14-0.29-0.021123%-0.333-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game30.02.827.214.833.12.830.82.514.32.418.5179.0
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +18.5%
TOR +9.2%
BOS -19.3%
TOR +31.3%
TOR +10.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORBOSNBATORBOSNBA
this game14.915.714.2108.7108.0109.6
season14.014.5109.9112.0
opponent14.414.5105.8104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR14.115.314.516.718.415.4
BOS15.916.015.517.614.916.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pascal Siakam1071060.68-0.180.850.3212-92114.914.70.1315.813.42.38
OG Anunoby90890.63-0.130.760.5721114.317.1-2.8215.616.0-0.37
Kyle Lowry1081060.50-0.000.510.4230314.717.0-2.2715.419.4-4.01
Fred VanVleet100980.390.110.290.3712-114.914.40.5415.815.00.77
Norman Powell77710.310.190.120.52-710-1715.413.91.4615.515.9-0.31
Matt Thomas12140.180.32-0.15-0.068-51312.715.1-2.3715.215.7-0.51
Marc Gasol37390.100.40-0.30-0.024-1514.215.2-0.9216.215.40.87
Serge Ibaka4239-0.330.83-1.15-0.06-912-2115.614.51.1115.915.50.36

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Wanamaker37360.06-0.560.630.012-5715.715.60.0615.114.80.35
Robert Williams III15140.04-0.540.590.040-3318.715.23.5415.614.80.80
Semi Ojeleye990.03-0.530.560.030-3313.415.9-2.4115.714.80.86
Grant Williams1413-0.22-0.280.060.02-85-1316.615.51.1215.814.81.01
Jaylen Brown100102-0.24-0.260.03-0.447-101715.616.0-0.3814.914.60.29
Marcus Smart9897-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.403-6915.715.30.3815.113.71.43
Jayson Tatum100103-0.560.06-0.62-0.41-52-715.417.6-2.2114.716.6-1.91
Kemba Walker99103-0.640.14-0.77-0.43-74-1115.914.11.8214.716.2-1.45
Daniel Theis9398-0.680.18-0.85-0.47-74-1115.217.6-2.3514.616.4-1.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.58,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.19,0.15,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.66,0.72,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 122, MIA 1210.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.62,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.26,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.74,087.5%
CHA 129, SAC 1280.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.24,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.58,086.8%
POR 88, DET 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,085.8%