NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	101.9 [1]		MVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): +94.2%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	39.2 [38]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -16.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.94	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.94	0.06	0.88	-0.00	8	67%	0.96	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.17	0.00	23	62%	0.36	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Norman Powell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	4	73%	0.16	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	9	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Fred VanVleet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	22	54%	0.23	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.02
Matt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	15	47%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.4	0.40	0.03	0.37	0.00	7	56%	0.40	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.21	0.13	0.02	15	78%	0.38	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.11	0.00	2	60%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	15	59%	0.19	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.08	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	18	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	15	34%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.0	2.7	26.4	16.3	32.4	2.7	29.4	142.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +65.5%

BOS -19.4%

BOS -0.3%

TOR +4.5%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	13.6	16.3	14.2	107.2	107.3	109.6
season	14.0	14.5		109.9	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		105.8	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.9	11.7	13.5	16.9	13.6
BOS	14.3	17.1	17.3	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	77	76	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-11	23	13.4	14.1	-0.67	16.5	15.5	0.94
Marc Gasol	50	53	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.51	5	-4	9	14.2	12.9	1.27	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Kyle Lowry	94	93	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	13.4	18.0	-4.57	16.2	18.0	-1.76
OG Anunoby	91	90	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	13.9	7.8	6.11	16.1	19.8	-3.78
Fred VanVleet	84	82	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	5	-9	13.2	15.6	-2.37	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Matt Thomas	13	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	-1	3	10.3	14.1	-3.76	17.4	16.1	1.33
Serge Ibaka	47	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.04	-4	5	-9	12.9	14.2	-1.27	17.0	15.8	1.20
Norman Powell	29	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	9	-17	15.6	12.7	2.88	16.2	16.3	-0.17

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	73	78	0.80	-1.30	2.09	0.47	11	-12	23	16.1	16.8	-0.65	14.4	10.2	4.17
Grant Williams	36	37	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-12	23	17.0	15.8	1.18	12.4	14.3	-1.97
Robert Williams III	27	28	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-4	7	17.5	15.8	1.71	13.1	13.8	-0.65
Semi Ojeleye	13	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	14.8	16.5	-1.67	15.9	13.2	2.68
Enes Kanter	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	3	-7	18.5	16.1	2.41	12.4	13.7	-1.30
Brad Wanamaker	22	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.06	-4	3	-7	17.8	15.8	1.98	12.0	14.1	-2.06
Marcus Smart	75	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	16.3	16.3	0.01	13.7	13.1	0.59
Jayson Tatum	82	80	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.50	-3	2	-5	16.3	16.3	0.01	13.0	16.2	-3.16
Daniel Theis	61	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	15.5	17.7	-2.28	14.2	12.6	1.57
Jaylen Brown	82	82	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	5	-11	16.1	17.3	-1.16	13.7	13.1	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.49,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.34,0.33,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, DAL 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.58,0	89.9%
CHH 91, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.9,0	89.3%
CHI 87, UTA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0	89.2%