NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	133		Excitement	34.0 [7]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +109.8%
Dallas Mavericks	135		Comeback	10.9 [35]		LVP	Paul George (LAC): -17.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.61	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.61,0.61	0.25	0.39	0.03	20	73%	0.70	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.42	0.01	0.42	0.00	9	45%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.21,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08	0.12	-0.03	0.00	22	59%	0.15	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.02	0.02	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	14	30%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,1.1	1.10	0.13	0.97	-0.00	31	64%	1.29	7	-0.19	5	60%	-0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.14	0.02	14	83%	0.35	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	18	54%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.08	0.02	9	71%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	8	35%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	30.2	2.8	33.3	15.2	26.6	2.8	35.3	2.6	14.3	163.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +72.2%

LAC -37.8%

DAL +53.9%

LAC -22.3%

LAC -16.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	14.2	120.9	121.6	109.6
season	13.8	14.5		113.2	115.2
opponent	14.1	14.4		111.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.8	16.0	17.3	12.1	12.5	14.5
DAL	13.9	12.3	13.4	15.6	19.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	72	72	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.03	15	-17	32	13.8	15.8	-1.93	15.2	12.7	2.49
Ivica Zubac	45	46	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-11	20	15.8	13.6	2.16	13.1	15.1	-2.07
Reggie Jackson	59	60	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-18	34	12.6	16.7	-4.08	14.9	13.5	1.46
Terance Mann	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-2	2	0.0	14.5	-14.50	18.0	14.2	3.75
JaMychal Green	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-3	4	13.4	14.9	-1.51	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Paul George	94	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	0	-2	14.7	13.2	1.46	14.3	14.2	0.12
Marcus Morris Sr.	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.8	13.3	1.50
Montrezl Harrell	37	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	17	-36	14.6	14.4	0.18	13.4	14.7	-1.31
Kawhi Leonard	95	95	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	11	-24	15.0	11.1	3.98	14.2	14.6	-0.40
Landry Shamet	46	48	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.55	-15	13	-28	16.1	13.3	2.80	13.4	15.0	-1.59

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	76	76	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-15	32	14.1	14.7	-0.55	15.5	12.3	3.24
Luka Doncic	94	92	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-9	20	14.3	13.9	0.40	15.0	11.7	3.32
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.53	-4	6	-10	14.7	13.4	1.30	13.9	15.7	-1.82
Seth Curry	66	64	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	-3	8	14.4	14.2	0.21	14.0	15.2	-1.12
Dorian Finney-Smith	70	72	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.61	-9	11	-20	14.9	13.2	1.72	13.7	16.0	-2.29
Boban Marjanovic	34	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-9	20	13.1	14.8	-1.72	15.7	14.0	1.72
Maxi Kleber	77	78	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.45	-9	11	-20	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.0	15.7	-1.72
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.37	8	-6	14	12.8	15.2	-2.39	16.0	13.7	2.29
J.J. Barea	12	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	12	-22	13.7	14.3	-0.59	12.3	14.8	-2.43
Justin Jackson	12	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	12	-22	13.7	14.3	-0.59	12.3	14.8	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.77,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, UTA 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	87.3%
DEN 108, PHX 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	86.9%
WAS 90, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	86.8%