inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 90 Excitement5.3 [734] MVPShaquille O'Neal (CLE): +16.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 102 Comeback5.8 [742] LVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): -9.9%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.030.02386%0.111-0.02887%0.03
Randy Foye0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.01-0.02750%0.071-0.0400%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01250%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Caron Butler0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.02-0.041850%0.082-0.06887%0.01
Dominic McGuire0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nick Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
JaVale McGee-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.00150%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Andray Blatche-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.06744%-0.013-0.01250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.060,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.01844%-0.021-0.032100%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.02425%-0.031-0.02475%0.01
Gilbert Arenas-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.050.021847%-0.013-0.091164%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.110.090.05975%0.201-0.041070%-0.00
LeBron James0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.040.001660%0.204-0.101385%0.01
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.120.000.04882%0.0800.0010%-0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.011454%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.01956%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jamario Moon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.02-0.05437%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Darnell Jackson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jawad Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00727%-0.0400.0010%-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.02621%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Anthony Parker0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031221%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.337.515.626.22.531.2139.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +41.0%
WAS -13.6%
CLE +6.5%
CLE +14.1%
CLE +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game14.616.815.398.9110.9106.0
season15.716.1102.6109.5
opponent15.015.3103.3107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS14.314.216.513.714.6
CLE17.613.517.019.716.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominic McGuire330.01-0.510.52-0.083-151811.014.8-3.7613.716.9-3.27
Nick Young330.00-0.500.50-0.093-151811.014.8-3.7613.716.9-3.27
JaVale McGee2323-0.04-0.460.43-0.040-121213.914.9-1.0314.817.5-2.72
Caron Butler7173-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-121214.714.30.3717.215.61.57
DeShawn Stevenson3333-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-4-413.915.1-1.1918.116.11.93
Brendan Haywood4749-0.25-0.250.00-0.07-6-6015.513.71.7218.714.73.95
Andray Blatche4848-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.24-1-111013.615.8-2.2717.316.30.93
Fabricio Oberto4847-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-3-615.613.61.9616.217.4-1.21
Mike Miller6868-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-153-1814.814.10.7416.418.0-1.59
Randy Foye4140-0.43-0.07-0.360.01-153-1814.115.1-0.9414.218.9-4.69
Gilbert Arenas7073-0.510.01-0.51-0.15-120-1215.113.02.1917.514.13.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mo Williams57560.470.030.44-0.0317-52217.915.12.8615.313.61.64
Anthony Parker55530.370.130.24-0.1016-42016.417.5-1.1015.413.61.86
Anderson Varejao60590.340.160.190.05102817.315.81.5114.514.9-0.46
Jamario Moon16160.330.170.160.1375216.416.9-0.4715.714.41.27
Shaquille O'Neal53540.300.200.100.0493617.515.91.5715.213.81.48
Daniel Gibson52520.260.240.020.0866016.916.70.1313.715.8-2.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas40410.260.240.010.1739-616.317.2-0.9814.614.7-0.09
LeBron James73710.220.28-0.070.19111-1016.816.9-0.0914.515.3-0.85
Delonte West43430.050.45-0.40-0.0439-615.118.4-3.3013.715.5-1.78
Darnell Jackson330.000.50-0.500.12-416-2013.716.9-3.2711.014.8-3.76
Jawad Williams330.000.50-0.500.09-315-1813.716.9-3.2711.014.8-3.76
JJ Hickson87-0.100.60-0.690.14-820-2817.716.71.0114.314.7-0.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 114, MIL 1310.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
ORL 83, POR 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.72,0.83,0.77,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.3%
ORL 111, UTA 1200.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,193.2%