NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	8.6 [185]		MVP	Steven Adams (OKC): +13.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Comeback	5.6 [147]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -16.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Jerebko	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	16	58%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.18,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.03,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	25	47%	0.15	4	-0.15	9	89%	0.06
Rudy Gobert	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	5	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	12	58%	-0.07
Dante Exum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	5	75%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	10	59%	-0.00	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	18	42%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	19	45%	-0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.12	-0.04	21	39%	-0.09	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	3.0	30.1	14.7	29.2	3.3	36.7	145.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +24.8%

UTA +19.2%

UTA +19.3%

OKC -13.1%

OKC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.7	102.0	94.1	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.6		106.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	16.0	17.5	13.8	15.4
OKC	13.7	15.3	11.3	12.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	71	71	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.37	21	-14	35	14.8	16.8	-1.98	13.6	12.4	1.25
Derrick Favors	74	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-7	21	16.0	13.7	2.39	13.5	12.3	1.25
Jonas Jerebko	27	27	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-12	31	14.3	15.8	-1.49	14.4	12.8	1.58
Donovan Mitchell	90	91	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	3	1	15.0	19.6	-4.64	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Ricky Rubio	78	78	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	4	-1	15.2	16.1	-0.92	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Dante Exum	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	3	1	16.1	15.2	0.92	14.1	13.0	1.09
Rudy Gobert	71	70	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	12	-17	15.1	16.1	-1.01	13.1	13.5	-0.34
Royce O'Neale	26	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.00	-11	18	-29	18.3	14.4	3.95	12.7	13.4	-0.71
Jae Crowder	41	42	-0.50	1.00	-1.50	-0.09	-14	21	-35	15.7	15.2	0.45	12.0	14.2	-2.18

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	63	62	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-16	25	13.0	13.7	-0.74	14.8	16.4	-1.53
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-11	15	12.6	15.9	-3.26	15.1	16.7	-1.56
Alex Abrines	31	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	-1	-5	13.3	13.2	0.11	14.0	16.1	-2.13
Jerami Grant	65	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	12.6	14.4	-1.77	15.5	15.3	0.18
Raymond Felton	30	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	2	-11	13.9	13.0	0.88	16.1	15.2	0.95
Steven Adams	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	3	-13	14.4	12.4	2.06	15.7	15.2	0.43
Patrick Patterson	19	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	4	-15	15.9	12.6	3.26	16.7	15.1	1.56
Russell Westbrook	81	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	13.1	13.9	-0.81	15.4	15.6	-0.20
Paul George	90	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	1	-9	13.2	13.3	-0.03	16.0	10.7	5.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, MIL 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.59,0.47,0.38,0.15,0.15,0.1,0	91.5%
ORL 95, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.33,0.27,0	91.2%
UTA 109, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.15,0.01,0	90.7%