NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	24.6 [10]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +53.9%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	2.7 [635]		LVP	Tony Snell (MIL): -17.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.56,0.54	0.17	0.40	0.04	20	74%	0.63	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36	0.10	0.20	-0.05	21	60%	0.49	4	-0.13	16	81%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.26	0.03	0.21	-0.02	13	57%	0.34	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Zeller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	6	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	12	35%	-0.01	5	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	4	25%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.52	0.52	0.09	0.46	0.03	18	55%	0.52	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.17	0.28	0.00	8	80%	0.49	1	-0.04	14	93%	0.17
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.09	0.01	20	49%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	19	53%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,0,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	18	50%	0.17	5	-0.34	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	29.4	15.8	27.2	3.4	42.9	2.7	18.3	168.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -23.7%

BOS +34.5%

BOS +33.6%

MIL -0.3%

BOS +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	12.7	16.8	14.7	100.0	104.6	107.5
season	14.3	15.1		108.5	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		103.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	15.3	11.0	13.4	11.1	13.4	12.7
BOS	16.0	16.2	17.9	18.9	13.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	37	38	0.39	-0.89	1.29	0.39	0	-6	6	12.4	12.9	-0.48	16.6	17.0	-0.45
Eric Bledsoe	65	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-13	20	12.7	12.7	-0.03	17.5	15.7	1.81
Sterling Brown	0	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-5	4	0.0	12.7	-12.72	2.0	17.0	-14.98
Tyler Zeller	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-5	4	8.5	13.2	-4.65	15.5	17.0	-1.55
Khris Middleton	93	94	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.40	11	-17	28	12.6	13.5	-0.90	17.5	12.3	5.24
John Henson	74	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	13.7	10.6	3.10	17.0	16.5	0.56
Jabari Parker	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	8	-22	13.9	12.3	1.56	17.4	16.7	0.69
Giannis Antetokounmpo	92	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	12.8	12.5	0.29	16.5	18.7	-2.17
Tony Snell	67	67	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.33	-17	11	-28	13.9	10.7	3.15	15.3	19.3	-3.95
Malcolm Brogdon	69	69	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.72	-5	-1	-4	11.0	15.8	-4.72	17.3	16.0	1.36

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	91	90	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-12	30	16.6	17.9	-1.30	13.3	9.4	3.93
Jayson Tatum	91	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-3	12	16.1	20.9	-4.79	12.8	12.3	0.48
Marcus Morris	75	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	2	2	16.9	16.8	0.04	12.0	14.3	-2.28
Shane Larkin	33	33	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.10	12	-6	18	16.8	16.8	0.01	13.2	12.5	0.67
Al Horford	90	89	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	4	-2	16.7	17.3	-0.59	12.9	11.6	1.33
Terry Rozier	82	84	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.15	0	6	-6	16.7	17.3	-0.66	12.7	13.0	-0.30
Greg Monroe	22	20	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	5	-4	17.0	16.8	0.20	12.5	12.8	-0.27
Aron Baynes	29	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	9	-12	17.1	16.8	0.31	13.6	12.4	1.24
Semi Ojeleye	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.28	-13	19	-32	20.5	15.6	4.85	10.5	13.5	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.5,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 120, CLE 121	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.41,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.46,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.83,1	89.7%
LAL 111, MIA 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.83,1	89.3%
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	89.2%