NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	120		Excitement	10.7 [53]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +118.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Comeback	3.2 [519]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -11.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0.82	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.82	0.27	0.56	0.01	24	76%	0.96	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.23
Caron Butler	0.40	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.4	0.06	0.37	0.02	16	53%	0.46	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	24	59%	0.15	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.08
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	11	52%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,1.19	1.19	0.23	0.98	0.03	23	70%	1.32	4	-0.14	18	94%	0.18
Eric Snow	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.10	0.24	0.01	12	67%	0.36	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	9	60%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	19	50%	0.10	3	-0.21	10	70%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	3	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.1	3.5	35.3	18.8	31.3	3.7	40.2	2.4	25.1	189.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.6%

WAS -6.1%

CLE +17.6%

WAS -11.2%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	17.2	15.6	122.4	126.0	104.4
season	15.1	16.2		107.4	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	16.7	16.6	14.2	15.7	14.8	15.6
CLE	18.4	14.7	16.5	20.3	15.2	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	26	25	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-6	11	15.3	15.7	-0.40	15.4	17.8	-2.37
Billy Thomas	5	4	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	1	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.31	18.2	17.1	1.14
Caron Butler	86	86	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-2	3	15.8	14.7	1.11	17.5	14.3	3.19
Etan Thomas	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	5	-11	17.2	15.4	1.83	18.2	17.0	1.15
Antonio Daniels	70	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	15.6	15.7	-0.10	17.2	17.0	0.27
Jared Jeffries	64	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	8	-17	15.6	15.6	-0.01	16.9	17.6	-0.67
Gilbert Arenas	97	95	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.46	1	-2	3	15.8	1.0	14.79	17.1	20.0	-2.87
Antawn Jamison	90	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	15.5	17.6	-2.16	17.4	14.1	3.25
Brendan Haywood	40	36	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.68	-1	0	-1	15.3	15.9	-0.58	16.9	17.3	-0.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	0	1	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.70	2	-1	3	0.0	17.2	-17.16	0.0	15.8	-15.80
Donyell Marshall	46	43	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-8	17	17.2	17.1	0.12	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Larry Hughes	87	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-3	7	16.9	19.6	-2.65	15.6	15.7	-0.03
Ronald Murray	61	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	17.5	16.6	0.88	15.4	16.1	-0.68
LeBron James	83	85	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.44	-4	5	-9	17.0	18.0	-0.98	15.9	13.8	2.16
Drew Gooden	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	6	-11	17.7	16.6	1.02	15.9	15.3	0.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	40	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	0	1	17.5	17.0	0.49	15.8	15.5	0.35
Anderson Varejao	37	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.29	3	-2	5	15.6	18.1	-2.45	15.9	15.5	0.48
Eric Snow	81	82	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.27	-4	5	-9	17.5	15.1	2.40	15.4	16.7	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.59,0.41,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.46,0.69,0.66,0.45,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.9,0.95,1	90.6%
MIN 89, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.73,1	90.6%
MIA 96, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.85,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	90.5%