NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	114		Excitement	2.3 [1258]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +8.9%
Houston Rockets	75		Comeback	1.1 [352]		LVP	Ryan Anderson (HOU): -9.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	26	63%	0.10	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.03	12	69%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	70%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.09	12	74%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	-0.07	11	36%	0.00	6	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.4	27.4	16.4	26.6	3.4	29.3	131.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +32.2%

HOU -2.3%

SAS +9.5%

SAS +9.4%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	13.6	14.8	120.0	79.8	107.7
season	15.4	13.7		110.1	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.3	18.0	17.6	15.8	16.9
HOU	12.5	13.3	13.7	14.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.50	32	7	25	17.9	15.1	2.81	14.5	12.0	2.46
Dejounte Murray	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.59	33	6	27	15.8	18.0	-2.25	13.0	14.2	-1.13
Patty Mills	53	52	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.37	25	14	11	18.4	15.0	3.33	14.0	13.0	1.04
David Lee	16	17	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	22	-5	16.4	17.0	-0.61	15.4	13.2	2.17
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	18	3	17.1	16.2	0.85	13.5	13.8	-0.25
Kyle Anderson	41	42	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.42	21	18	3	16.4	17.2	-0.83	13.1	14.0	-0.87
Manu Ginobili	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	31	-23	16.5	17.1	-0.64	12.2	14.3	-2.14
Pau Gasol	58	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.40	19	20	-1	17.8	15.5	2.25	13.9	13.1	0.79
Danny Green	63	61	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	28	-17	17.5	15.7	1.71	12.8	15.0	-2.15
Davis Bertans	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	36	-33	11.7	17.4	-5.76	14.2	13.5	0.72
Dewayne Dedmon	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	36	-33	11.7	17.4	-5.76	14.2	13.5	0.72
Joel Anthony	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	40	-41	15.4	17.0	-1.57	13.6	13.6	0.03
Bryn Forbes	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	36	-33	11.7	17.4	-5.76	14.2	13.5	0.72

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	13.6	13.6	-0.00	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Troy Williams	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	13.6	13.6	-0.00	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Isaiah Taylor	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	13.6	13.6	-0.00	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Bobby Brown	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-38	37	13.6	13.6	-0.00	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Sam Dekker	21	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.25	-15	-24	9	12.2	14.0	-1.72	18.6	16.4	2.18
James Harden	71	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.54	-28	-11	-17	13.8	12.7	1.11	16.5	18.3	-1.86
Eric Gordon	59	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.09	-13	-26	13	12.1	16.1	-4.00	18.1	14.8	3.30
Clint Capela	66	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.52	-28	-11	-17	14.3	11.8	2.50	16.6	17.7	-1.11
Trevor Ariza	73	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.39	-24	-15	-9	14.0	12.2	1.72	16.4	18.6	-2.18
Patrick Beverley	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.54	-30	-9	-21	13.8	13.2	0.54	17.0	16.6	0.43
Lou Williams	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.31	-23	-16	-7	13.3	13.8	-0.43	17.2	16.6	0.63
Ryan Anderson	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.47	-30	-9	-21	13.9	13.2	0.78	16.1	17.8	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 115, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
OKC 97, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
SAS 129, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%