NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	4.6 [900]		MVP	Kevin Love (CLE): +20.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	1.4 [1131]		LVP	Tristan Thompson (CLE): -8.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.00	0.04	12	79%	0.16	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson III	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Paul George	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	0.10	-0.02	0.07	20	65%	0.09	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
CJ Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	13	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	104%	0.24	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.05
Kyrie Irving	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.05	0.05	24	70%	0.21	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	4	112%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	20	54%	0.15	8	-0.18	6	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.5	31.4	17.5	33.2	3.7	39.5	154.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +52.7%

CLE +4.5%

IND -0.1%

IND -8.1%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.8	111.0	118.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.5	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		109.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	13.6	15.8	12.0	14.1
CLE	14.3	15.2	12.5	17.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	12	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-12	18	13.5	14.2	-0.69	17.9	14.5	3.41
Glenn Robinson III	20	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.11	-5	-1	-4	11.0	14.9	-3.89	16.1	14.6	1.54
Kevin Seraphin	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.0	13.8	1.17	14.3	15.0	-0.70
CJ Miles	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	13.7	14.3	-0.67	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Monta Ellis	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-2	-2	14.6	13.5	1.09	13.8	16.0	-2.17
Jeff Teague	73	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	14.4	13.4	0.91	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Thaddeus Young	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	14.7	12.6	2.11	14.9	14.6	0.33
Myles Turner	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	13.8	15.0	-1.17	15.0	14.3	0.70
Lance Stephenson	55	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-3	0	12.9	15.5	-2.59	15.4	14.1	1.29
Paul George	86	88	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	1	-8	14.8	9.9	4.86	14.7	15.9	-1.20

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	80	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-11	28	14.7	15.4	-0.72	14.4	12.7	1.69
LeBron James	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.32	6	0	6	14.9	14.5	0.43	14.6	10.6	4.01
Iman Shumpert	40	39	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	4	-2	14.8	14.8	-0.02	14.3	14.0	0.37
Kyrie Irving	69	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	6	-6	14.7	15.3	-0.61	14.6	13.0	1.56
Tristan Thompson	64	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	10	-14	15.1	14.3	0.81	15.0	12.6	2.45
Deron Williams	36	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	2	2	15.0	14.7	0.30	12.8	14.9	-2.08
Kyle Korver	30	31	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.11	10	-4	14	14.7	14.9	-0.20	11.7	15.2	-3.43
Channing Frye	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	6	-6	15.1	14.7	0.42	13.2	14.5	-1.27
Richard Jefferson	23	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	7	-8	14.9	14.8	0.10	12.7	14.5	-1.77
JR Smith	37	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	14.5	15.0	-0.48	14.4	13.9	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 73, NYK 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
ATL 89, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
IND 88, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	95.4%