NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	4.9 [850]		MVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): +15.2%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.5 [287]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -10.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.00	11	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	89%	0.14	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	16	65%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	19	50%	0.14	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.03	11	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	15	40%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	5	-0.12	13	54%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	31.5	17.4	24.7	3.5	28.6	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +19.9%

CHI +10.8%

CHI +7.2%

CHI +11.8%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	14.8	116.8	102.1	107.7
season	15.1	14.7		105.9	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	17.5	14.3	16.2	15.9
BOS	14.2	14.5	15.7	13.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	86	85	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.01	22	-8	30	15.5	19.7	-4.14	14.5	13.7	0.78
Rajon Rondo	77	77	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.08	24	-10	34	16.5	13.5	2.98	14.9	12.3	2.62
Dwyane Wade	64	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.11	22	-8	30	15.7	16.4	-0.75	14.4	14.3	0.15
Robin Lopez	60	61	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.03	17	-3	20	16.9	14.2	2.67	15.2	13.0	2.23
Nikola Mirotic	52	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-4	22	16.3	15.4	0.95	15.7	12.9	2.81
Michael Carter-Williams	11	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	13	-12	11.0	16.6	-5.56	12.4	14.6	-2.16
Cristiano Felicio	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	14.2	16.9	-2.67	13.0	15.2	-2.23
Paul Zipser	56	59	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	20	-26	16.6	15.0	1.60	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Denzel Valentine	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	21.0	15.9	5.14	0.0	14.4	-14.40
Bobby Portis	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	25	-36	14.2	16.4	-2.20	12.8	14.9	-2.04
Jerian Grant	11	12	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.23	-14	28	-42	18.9	15.5	3.39	11.6	14.8	-3.22

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	28	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-25	36	12.7	15.1	-2.44	14.9	16.3	-1.40
James Young	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-17	20	10.0	14.5	-4.54	21.7	15.7	5.94
Tyler Zeller	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-15	16	16.8	13.9	2.90	18.1	15.5	2.63
Amir Johnson	18	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-10	6	13.9	14.5	-0.63	16.6	15.8	0.82
Kelly Olynyk	50	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-16	18	13.4	15.5	-2.07	14.6	17.5	-2.87
Jaylen Brown	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-6	-2	13.5	14.6	-1.08	17.5	15.6	1.97
Marcus Smart	56	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-12	10	13.8	15.2	-1.41	15.3	16.8	-1.58
Jae Crowder	71	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-2	-10	14.7	13.5	1.15	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Al Horford	58	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	5	-24	15.2	13.2	2.03	16.6	14.7	1.92
Isaiah Thomas	81	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.07	-20	6	-26	14.9	11.3	3.65	16.2	14.2	2.00
Avery Bradley	78	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.04	-22	8	-30	14.6	13.4	1.28	15.7	16.7	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DET 102, DEN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHX 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0,0	94.4%