inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Excitement6.3 [572] MVPMarreese Speights (GSW): +12.2%
Golden State Warriors 120 Comeback1.1 [950] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -14.1%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Morrow0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.010.044125%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.010.041065%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.050.060.040.043153%0.113-0.0613100%0.09
Steven Adams0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.01662%0.061-0.0210%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00133%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Randy Foye-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.021100%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Andre Roberson-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.02560%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0240%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.002848%0.077-0.21967%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00774%0.141-0.025100%0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.080.080.070.030.022062%0.215-0.1310100%0.02
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00567%0.101-0.04250%-0.01
Andrew Bogut0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.01975%0.102-0.05250%-0.02
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.05-0.00650%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.000100%0.0400.002100%0.02
Draymond Green0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.030.001048%0.052-0.033100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.032152%0.063-0.081090%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.829.117.527.23.844.5151.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +28.5%
GSW +10.1%
GSW +7.7%
GSW +2.5%
GSW +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.313.614.9106.7116.5105.1
season14.413.7111.5112.3
opponent15.115.1102.9104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.915.014.312.914.3
GSW13.912.714.013.813.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nazr Mohammed100.00-0.500.500.000-9911.014.3-3.290.013.6-13.56
Randy Foye1817-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-111314.214.3-0.0512.413.8-1.38
Enes Kanter1514-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-9915.314.11.1812.513.7-1.23
Andre Roberson6969-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-6314.813.21.6014.312.02.38
Anthony Morrow1718-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-6314.214.3-0.1012.713.8-1.09
Serge Ibaka8788-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.18-3-6314.114.8-0.6713.414.5-1.14
Kevin Durant9897-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-5114.017.8-3.7913.89.24.67
Steven Adams6969-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.17-7-2-514.114.5-0.3813.114.5-1.44
Russell Westbrook8887-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.12-90-914.513.21.2713.513.8-0.30
Dion Waiters5856-0.610.11-0.73-0.09-189-2713.814.8-0.9413.913.10.84

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Iguodala73750.52-0.020.540.3172513.912.61.3113.516.1-2.60
Stephen Curry81820.310.190.110.1363313.613.30.3114.314.00.39
Harrison Barnes57560.290.210.08-0.0612-31512.115.4-3.3414.913.61.29
Marreese Speights19190.260.240.010.0572512.913.7-0.7614.714.20.52
Klay Thompson79810.250.25-0.000.1054113.414.2-0.9014.314.20.11
Draymond Green84850.250.25-0.000.1927-513.712.90.7614.214.7-0.52
Leandro Barbosa17160.230.28-0.050.1145-113.113.7-0.5314.614.20.36
Shaun Livingston29290.220.28-0.060.1336-314.213.30.9013.814.4-0.65
Andrew Bogut63630.210.29-0.080.1527-514.212.61.5314.813.41.35
Festus Ezeli770.030.47-0.450.0309-917.013.33.6913.314.3-1.04
Anderson Varejao67-0.050.55-0.600.04-312-1512.813.6-0.7713.414.3-0.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 85, SAS 970.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
MIN 92, NJN 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1,194.7%
MEM 96, MIL 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,194.3%