inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 91 Excitement3.8 [1084] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +21.1%
Golden State Warriors 118 Comeback1.1 [998] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -7.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Adams0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.02664%0.0700.00250%-0.00
Kevin Durant0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.00-0.001871%0.228-0.185100%0.01
Enes Kanter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00560%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cameron Payne0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Anthony Morrow0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03356%0.0000.003100%0.00
Randy Foye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.04462%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00550%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03625%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dion Waiters-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.090.00-0.061129%-0.0310.0020%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.080,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.030.031448%-0.023-0.065100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.160.050.001580%0.253-0.045100%0.06
Harrison Barnes0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.020.02869%0.0700.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.030.041054%0.0600.00683%0.01
Festus Ezeli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.01575%0.061-0.00633%-0.02
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.080.010.06693%0.052-0.02250%0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.002100%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04180%0.0000.00367%0.00
Brandon Rush00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04312%0.0000.00250%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03633%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.03956%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.021739%-0.042-0.02475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.432.415.830.53.331.7145.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +13.2%
GSW +9.6%
GSW +12.1%
GSW +11.9%
GSW +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game16.115.714.9101.1129.7105.1
season14.413.7111.5112.3
opponent15.115.1102.9104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC16.516.017.014.716.1
GSW15.516.813.517.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison12120.00-0.500.50-0.062-293113.216.5-3.3715.715.70.02
Cameron Payne13130.00-0.500.500.000-272714.216.4-2.2617.515.42.01
Kyle Singler1516-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-252313.916.5-2.5918.215.23.05
Anthony Morrow1616-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-272713.616.6-3.0018.215.23.05
Randy Foye3634-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-252314.916.9-1.9116.015.60.42
Serge Ibaka5556-0.19-0.310.130.17-12-15316.914.92.0215.915.50.41
Enes Kanter2627-0.19-0.310.110.13-11-16516.815.81.0116.715.31.43
Dion Waiters5354-0.34-0.16-0.180.33-23-4-1916.215.90.3816.414.81.61
Kevin Durant6667-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-17-10-716.515.11.3715.217.1-1.89
Steven Adams6869-0.39-0.11-0.290.34-25-2-2316.614.52.0415.317.2-1.97
Russell Westbrook5960-0.43-0.07-0.350.37-270-2716.814.62.2015.216.7-1.53
Andre Roberson3131-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-18-9-916.116.10.0113.017.2-4.20

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green60600.56-0.060.63-0.142432115.117.0-1.9216.714.81.93
Stephen Curry56560.470.030.44-0.242432115.216.6-1.4016.715.01.70
Klay Thompson56560.420.080.34-0.342612515.216.6-1.4516.615.21.47
Andre Iguodala48470.350.150.21-0.201981116.215.21.0016.016.1-0.10
Harrison Barnes59580.330.170.15-0.20189915.715.8-0.0716.215.80.38
Andrew Bogut30300.280.220.06-0.131413113.916.6-2.6917.915.22.72
Festus Ezeli25260.070.43-0.35-0.16819-1115.615.8-0.1315.916.2-0.29
Anderson Varejao1090.040.46-0.43-0.14621-1521.515.06.4816.416.00.40
Leandro Barbosa31310.040.46-0.430.04027-2715.715.8-0.0915.016.7-1.71
Shaun Livingston34330.010.49-0.47-0.16621-1516.615.21.4115.516.4-0.91
Brandon Rush13120.000.50-0.500.06-229-3117.515.42.0113.216.5-3.37
Ian Clark13130.000.50-0.500.00027-2717.515.42.0114.216.4-2.26
Marreese Speights2019-0.070.57-0.650.16-835-4316.015.70.3413.516.8-3.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 77, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
POR 92, PHX 1100.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
POR 98, DEN 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%