NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	5.8 [662]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +15.6%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	1.2 [987]		LVP	Donatas Motiejunas (HOU): -13.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	59%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	8	72%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
KJ McDaniels	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.13	5	-0.14	15	87%	0.03
Josh Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	5	90%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	9	53%	-0.03	3	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	20	61%	0.22	4	-0.06	16	94%	0.07
Shaun Livingston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	73%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.01	10	82%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	12	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	10	25%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.6	39.3	17.7	26.1	2.8	37.4	153.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.5%

HOU -6.5%

GSW +6.1%

GSW +14.3%

GSW +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	GSW	NBA	HOU	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	15.1	14.9	109.3	117.3	105.1
season	14.0	13.7		105.9	112.3
opponent	15.1	15.1		102.9	106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.1	13.4	15.3	15.0	14.4
GSW	14.7	14.3	19.0	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.14	9	-18	27	12.9	14.9	-2.05	12.4	15.9	-3.49
Michael Beasley	29	29	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.28	13	-22	35	12.2	15.4	-3.13	12.2	16.3	-4.11
KJ McDaniels	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-13	17	7.7	14.7	-6.97	6.0	15.5	-9.49
Clint Capela	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-9	9	13.7	14.5	-0.78	15.7	15.0	0.64
Donatas Motiejunas	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-6	3	14.5	14.4	0.15	17.9	13.9	4.02
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.2	14.9	-0.69	13.8	17.5	-3.66
Patrick Beverley	68	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	14.5	14.4	0.08	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Josh Smith	34	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	0	-9	15.2	14.0	1.14	15.4	14.9	0.54
James Harden	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	1	-11	14.6	13.8	0.80	15.7	12.4	3.26
Dwight Howard	68	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	13	-35	15.4	12.1	3.37	16.1	12.7	3.43
Trevor Ariza	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	6	-21	15.0	12.6	2.32	15.7	12.9	2.83

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	52	52	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.04	23	-14	37	16.2	13.8	2.45	15.2	13.6	1.60
Klay Thompson	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-7	23	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.0	15.9	-1.82
Shaun Livingston	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	-10	29	15.1	15.0	0.09	15.3	13.1	2.18
Draymond Green	81	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	15.0	15.5	-0.52	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Harrison Barnes	67	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	15.7	13.8	1.85	14.5	14.2	0.32
Andre Iguodala	70	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	10	-11	14.2	17.4	-3.26	13.8	15.9	-2.12
Marreese Speights	21	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	11	-13	16.8	14.6	2.17	14.9	14.3	0.60
Ian Clark	4	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	15.7	15.1	0.68	19.6	14.2	5.45
Leandro Barbosa	25	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	16	-23	16.2	14.7	1.42	14.7	14.3	0.37
Festus Ezeli	8	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	14	-19	10.2	15.5	-5.28	13.4	14.5	-1.15
Brandon Rush	29	28	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.28	-17	26	-43	13.3	15.9	-2.59	13.5	14.8	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 109, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.3%
TOR 94, CHA 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.56,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.86,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NOP 94, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.2%