NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	9.9 [79]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): +21.1%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	3.2 [568]		LVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): -25.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	22	51%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	10	57%	0.14	1	-0.14	8	75%	0.07
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.31,0.2,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	38	51%	0.06	4	-0.09	10	60%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	13	35%	-0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.11	-0.00	8	83%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	14	58%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.09
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	9	61%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	20	59%	0.22	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.08
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	40%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	13	40%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.3	2.0	32.0	14.3	26.7	3.7	34.5	2.0	15.3	159.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +54.5%

GSW +15.3%

CLE -10.4%

CLE -2.0%

CLE -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	17.8	13.8	15.1	99.0	108.0	104.2
season	15.9	13.6		108.7	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.5	17.8	20.2	21.1	14.4	17.8
GSW	13.7	14.3	14.1	13.9	12.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Timofey Mozgov	63	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-11	14	17.9	17.6	0.23	14.3	13.1	1.24
Iman Shumpert	63	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-1	-6	18.7	16.3	2.34	13.9	13.7	0.25
Kyrie Irving	83	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-13	18	17.9	17.2	0.67	14.1	12.6	1.45
Tristan Thompson	92	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	17.6	20.0	-2.45	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Matthew Dellavedova	18	17	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	5	-18	17.2	17.9	-0.67	12.6	14.1	-1.45
James Jones	34	33	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	3	-14	17.2	18.1	-0.90	13.4	14.1	-0.73
LeBron James	88	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-5	2	17.5	19.9	-2.47	13.7	14.8	-1.15
J.R. Smith	65	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	0	-8	18.0	17.4	0.64	13.9	13.8	0.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	0	8	13.8	13.9	-0.01	18.0	17.4	0.68
Draymond Green	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	5	-2	13.6	14.5	-0.84	17.2	19.4	-2.17
Stephen Curry	81	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	4	0	13.7	14.5	-0.83	17.5	18.8	-1.25
Klay Thompson	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	3	2	13.8	13.9	-0.00	18.0	17.2	0.72
Harrison Barnes	74	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	-3	14	13.8	13.9	-0.10	17.7	18.0	-0.30
Festus Ezeli	24	24	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	5	-2	14.0	13.8	0.20	16.8	18.1	-1.29
Leandro Barbosa	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	3	2	14.5	13.7	0.75	18.1	17.7	0.34
Marreese Speights	14	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	3	2	14.9	13.7	1.17	19.7	17.4	2.28
Shaun Livingston	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	13.9	13.8	0.11	17.8	17.8	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	54	52	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	14	-20	13.9	13.8	0.00	18.2	17.3	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.64,0.43,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 98, ATL 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.64,0.9,0.84,1	90.1%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	89.5%
DAL 108, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.78,0.92,1	89.1%