NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	100		Excitement	4.6 [898]		MVP	Josh Smith (HOU): +10.1%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	1.0 [617]		LVP	JJ Redick (LAC): -11.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	18	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	10	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06
Austin Rivers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	20	57%	0.04	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	0.07	23	56%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.00
JJ Redick	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	12	42%	0.01	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	14	69%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	10	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	20	53%	0.05	7	-0.10	18	83%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.4	32.4	16.4	33.5	3.4	47.2	163.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.8%

HOU +6.5%

HOU +3.2%

HOU +5.1%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.2	14.3	15.1	96.2	107.6	104.2
season	14.6	14.3		110.5	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.9	15.0	12.5	11.4	13.2
HOU	11.4	13.8	15.8	16.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	48	49	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.15	9	-22	31	12.1	14.2	-2.11	14.8	13.9	0.94
Dahntay Jones	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.5	13.3	-4.83	11.0	14.3	-3.35
Lester Hudson	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	7.0	13.3	-6.30	11.0	14.3	-3.35
Spencer Hawes	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-10	7	18.5	13.0	5.47	8.5	14.5	-6.04
Glen Davis	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.12	-10	-3	-7	17.2	12.8	4.41	9.5	14.9	-5.43
DeAndre Jordan	84	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-15	17	12.8	15.0	-2.18	14.9	11.6	3.26
Chris Paul	97	97	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-7	1	13.0	16.3	-3.27	14.8	8.2	6.56
JJ Redick	90	90	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-7	1	13.0	14.8	-1.79	14.4	13.7	0.68
Austin Rivers	31	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	4	-21	14.6	12.7	1.91	13.6	14.6	-1.04
Blake Griffin	96	97	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	-1	-11	13.1	14.7	-1.64	14.3	14.2	0.07
Jamal Crawford	56	56	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.03	-22	9	-31	14.2	12.1	2.11	13.9	14.8	-0.94

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	94	92	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	1	11	14.7	11.2	3.50	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Terrence Jones	46	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.01	16	-3	19	13.5	14.9	-1.37	14.1	12.6	1.48
Pablo Prigioni	41	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-7	27	14.5	14.2	0.28	15.3	11.9	3.39
Dwight Howard	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-2	17	13.8	15.5	-1.66	13.1	13.5	-0.37
Trevor Ariza	95	94	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	7	-1	14.6	11.5	3.11	13.0	15.9	-2.94
Corey Brewer	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	2	9	14.4	14.2	0.23	13.8	12.7	1.09
Jason Terry	63	63	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	18	-23	14.0	14.8	-0.79	11.9	15.3	-3.39
Josh Smith	50	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	14.8	13.9	0.85	12.9	13.6	-0.69
Nick Johnson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	11.0	14.3	-3.35	7.0	13.3	-6.30
Kostas Papanikolaou	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	11.0	14.3	-3.35	7.0	13.3	-6.30
Clint Capela	13	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	19	-25	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.2	13.0	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 83, PHI 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
IND 114, DEN 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
PHI 88, LAL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%