inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 96 Excitement2.2 [1279] MVPTony Parker (SAS): +9.3%
San Antonio Spurs 119 Comeback1.1 [1114] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -5.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeJuan Blair0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03580%0.0300.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.051077%0.063-0.042100%0.00
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03480%-0.002-0.002100%-0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.011146%-0.012-0.024100%0.01
Vince Carter-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011242%-0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.01825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.00542%-0.032-0.02250%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.020.000.032145%-0.041-0.01786%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.110.000.021963%0.123-0.021377%0.02
Danny Green0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.170.000.087100%0.0900.002100%0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.040.07787%0.103-0.02989%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.000.02883%0.082-0.02250%-0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021452%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01839%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.030.000.05567%-0.011-0.012100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.53.439.618.330.53.434.6159.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +35.8%
SAS +9.7%
DAL -2.8%
SAS +7.7%
DAL -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game15.614.415.1100.0124.0105.2
season15.315.0109.0109.8
opponent15.015.0101.1107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL17.816.316.212.215.6
SAS12.913.015.816.014.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bernard James10110.00-0.500.50-0.186-293512.815.9-3.1119.913.76.20
Wayne Ellington2122-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-283312.216.5-4.3416.913.73.17
Shane Larkin1415-0.02-0.480.45-0.082-252713.116.0-2.8618.213.74.48
Brandan Wright1213-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-222115.215.6-0.4817.713.93.79
Jae Crowder2322-0.09-0.410.330.00-3-201713.716.2-2.4816.013.92.11
DeJuan Blair3130-0.14-0.360.23-0.140-232314.915.9-1.0012.715.2-2.50
Jose Calderon5859-0.23-0.270.04-0.230-232315.915.00.9213.915.2-1.21
Vince Carter6564-0.24-0.260.020.17-14-9-515.515.7-0.2313.715.9-2.28
Shawn Marion4141-0.25-0.25-0.000.39-22-1-2114.216.6-2.4215.014.01.06
Samuel Dalembert1515-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-18-5-1320.314.75.6314.114.5-0.41
Devin Harris5956-0.29-0.21-0.070.21-17-6-1115.815.20.6013.216.2-3.01
Monta Ellis5960-0.43-0.07-0.360.27-241-2517.113.13.9814.514.30.18
Dirk Nowitzki7272-0.46-0.04-0.420.39-296-3516.512.73.7813.417.5-4.17

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili48490.440.060.38-0.5032-94112.516.4-3.8716.215.01.23
Tim Duncan60600.390.110.29-0.282302314.514.20.2716.613.92.62
Danny Green64670.370.130.24-0.252121913.516.3-2.8016.114.31.82
Kawhi Leonard58550.280.220.05-0.16158714.614.20.4316.714.02.72
Patty Mills36370.260.240.02-0.241761113.515.0-1.4714.216.5-2.31
Tiago Splitter33320.250.250.01-0.19158713.115.1-1.9715.715.50.25
Tony Parker68670.240.26-0.02-0.141310314.514.20.2416.114.31.82
Boris Diaw53540.240.26-0.03-0.23167913.116.0-2.9116.015.10.87
Marco Belinelli20200.030.47-0.440.35-1134-4517.513.63.9612.416.4-3.96
Matt Bonner11110.000.50-0.500.23-831-3919.913.76.2011.716.1-4.36
Jeff Ayres770.000.50-0.500.12-427-3119.114.05.1012.115.9-3.71
Cory Joseph11100.000.50-0.500.18-629-3519.913.76.2012.815.9-3.11
Aron Baynes11110.000.50-0.500.23-831-3919.913.76.2011.716.1-4.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 95, WAS 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
MEM 105, LAL 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
SAS 82, LAL 1110.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%