NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	101		Excitement	9.3 [112]		MVP	Nene (WAS): +20.9%
Chicago Bulls	99		Comeback	11.9 [68]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -60.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.01	13	57%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Martell Webster	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	20	58%	0.09	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.06
Andre Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Drew Gooden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	9	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
John Wall	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	15	46%	0.02	5	-0.22	5	60%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.07	-0.10	0.02	22	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	14	62%	0.14	5	-0.23	4	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22	-0.22	0.02	-0.24	0.00	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.27	10	80%	0.03
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.21,-0.27,-0.41,-0.45,-0.43,-0.6	-0.60	-0.09	-0.51	0.00	13	40%	-0.47	3	-0.13	4	50%	-0.24

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	3.6	32.5	19.3	25.5	3.5	36.3	3.3	18.4	164.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +72.6%

CHI -3.4%

CHI -43.7%

WAS +31.0%

CHI -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.1	103.1	103.1	105.2
season	15.1	16.3		103.8	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.2	17.3	16.0	14.3	11.7	15.3
CHI	19.0	16.1	18.2	17.8	15.5	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	76	76	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.42	12	-10	22	15.2	15.4	-0.14	18.2	15.2	2.91
Trevor Booker	51	51	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-8	18	14.6	16.0	-1.35	17.4	17.7	-0.26
John Wall	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	15.4	14.6	0.79	17.6	17.5	0.03
Nene	71	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.59	-2	4	-6	15.5	14.5	1.07	17.9	16.5	1.40
Bradley Beal	78	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.55	-1	3	-4	15.4	14.7	0.63	17.6	17.2	0.38
Drew Gooden	5	4	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	-4	10	12.8	15.4	-2.59	13.5	17.7	-4.23
Andre Miller	18	17	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	14.6	15.4	-0.79	17.5	17.6	-0.03
Garrett Temple	1	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	6	-10	1.0	15.4	-14.40	4.0	17.7	-13.69
Martell Webster	42	40	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.09	-7	9	-16	15.1	15.4	-0.32	16.2	18.5	-2.23
Marcin Gortat	68	65	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.12	-6	8	-14	15.8	14.0	1.86	17.7	17.2	0.48

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	50	51	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.33	4	-6	10	17.8	17.2	0.60	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Carlos Boozer	37	38	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.20	-2	0	-2	18.9	16.7	2.14	15.8	14.9	0.83
Tony Snell	13	11	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.10	1	-3	4	15.8	17.8	-1.97	16.2	15.1	1.04
Nazr Mohammed	5	4	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-5	8	17.0	17.6	-0.58	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Jimmy Butler	96	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	17.6	0.0	17.55	15.3	0.0	15.26
D.J. Augustin	75	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.79	8	-10	18	17.0	19.4	-2.40	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Joakim Noah	84	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	2	-6	17.4	18.7	-1.27	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Taj Gibson	65	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	3	-8	17.3	18.2	-0.90	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	55	59	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.54	-13	11	-24	18.2	16.7	1.43	15.3	15.2	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.17,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 114, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.55,0.28,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.19,0	87.9%
TOR 109, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.61,0.72,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.1,0.02,0	87.5%
HOU 111, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.38,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.45,0.08,0	87.4%